Current forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models project a daytime high of 32–34°C for Jinan on August 18, driven by persistent summer high pressure and typical seasonal warmth. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August in Shandong, where average highs exceed 30°C and records often surpass 35°C. Multiple ensemble runs show strong consensus with minimal spread, keeping the probability of falling below 26°C extremely low. Trader positioning reflects this near-certainty, as only an unseasonal cold surge or major forecast revision could alter the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日济南气温最高?
26°C or higher 99.7%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
22°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.7%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
22°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models project a daytime high of 32–34°C for Jinan on August 18, driven by persistent summer high pressure and typical seasonal warmth. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August in Shandong, where average highs exceed 30°C and records often surpass 35°C. Multiple ensemble runs show strong consensus with minimal spread, keeping the probability of falling below 26°C extremely low. Trader positioning reflects this near-certainty, as only an unseasonal cold surge or major forecast revision could alter the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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