Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services project a daytime high in Jinan of 32–34°C on September 16, driven by persistent southwesterly flow under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions. This places the market-implied probability of 26°C or higher near 96 percent, reflecting strong model consensus on temperatures well above the threshold. Historical September averages for the region hover around 27°C, underscoring the current warmth. Traders appear to discount lower outcomes given limited forecast spread and the absence of significant cooling mechanisms such as heavy cloud cover or frontal passages in the latest runs. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt downward revision in official guidance from agencies like China’s Central Meteorological Observatory, though such shifts appear unlikely within the final 24-hour window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日济南气温最高？
9月16日济南气温最高？
26°C或更高 96%
24°C 7.0%
16°C或以下 4%
17°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
16°C或以下
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21℃
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C或更高
96%
26°C或更高 96%
24°C 7.0%
16°C或以下 4%
17°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
16°C或以下
$10 交易量
4%
17°C
$10 交易量
4%
18°C
$10 交易量
4%
19°C
$10 交易量
4%
20°C
$10 交易量
4%
21℃
$10 交易量
4%
22°C
$10 交易量
4%
23°C
$10 交易量
2%
24°C
$50 交易量
7%
25°C
$10 交易量
2%
26°C或更高
$174 交易量
96%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services project a daytime high in Jinan of 32–34°C on September 16, driven by persistent southwesterly flow under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions. This places the market-implied probability of 26°C or higher near 96 percent, reflecting strong model consensus on temperatures well above the threshold. Historical September averages for the region hover around 27°C, underscoring the current warmth. Traders appear to discount lower outcomes given limited forecast spread and the absence of significant cooling mechanisms such as heavy cloud cover or frontal passages in the latest runs. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt downward revision in official guidance from agencies like China’s Central Meteorological Observatory, though such shifts appear unlikely within the final 24-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$314结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services project a daytime high in Jinan of 32–34°C on September 16, driven by persistent southwesterly flow under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions. This places the market-implied probability of 26°C or higher near 96 percent, reflecting strong model consensus on temperatures well above the threshold. Historical September averages for the region hover around 27°C, underscoring the current warmth. Traders appear to discount lower outcomes given limited forecast spread and the absence of significant cooling mechanisms such as heavy cloud cover or frontal passages in the latest runs. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt downward revision in official guidance from agencies like China’s Central Meteorological Observatory, though such shifts appear unlikely within the final 24-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$314结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological services project a daytime high in Jinan of 32–34°C on September 16, driven by persistent southwesterly flow under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions. This places the market-implied probability of 26°C or higher near 96 percent, reflecting strong model consensus on temperatures well above the threshold. Historical September averages for the region hover around 27°C, underscoring the current warmth. Traders appear to discount lower outcomes given limited forecast spread and the absence of significant cooling mechanisms such as heavy cloud cover or frontal passages in the latest runs. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt downward revision in official guidance from agencies like China’s Central Meteorological Observatory, though such shifts appear unlikely within the final 24-hour window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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