Recent forecast model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and Ventusky points to a Mexico City high near 25–26°C on August 19, aligning with the market’s tight split between those two outcomes. At the city’s high elevation, typical August daytime maxima average 24–26°C under the influence of the rainy season, when afternoon cloud build-up and showers often cap peak temperatures. Current guidance shows partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, introducing minor uncertainty around exact solar heating and thus whether the high settles at 25°C or edges to 26–27°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-range variables against seasonal baselines, with no recent extreme-heat anomalies shifting the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日墨西哥城气温最高？
8月19日墨西哥城气温最高？
26°C 32%
25°C 32%
27°C 23%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
32%
26°C
32%
27°C
23%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
26°C 32%
25°C 32%
27°C 23%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
22°C或以下
$124 交易量
1%
23°C
$5 交易量
5%
24°C
$13 交易量
7%
25°C
$19 交易量
32%
26°C
$66 交易量
32%
27°C
$35 交易量
23%
28°C
$130 交易量
6%
29°C
$113 交易量
2%
30°C
$123 交易量
1%
31°C
$39 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$40 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and Ventusky points to a Mexico City high near 25–26°C on August 19, aligning with the market’s tight split between those two outcomes. At the city’s high elevation, typical August daytime maxima average 24–26°C under the influence of the rainy season, when afternoon cloud build-up and showers often cap peak temperatures. Current guidance shows partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, introducing minor uncertainty around exact solar heating and thus whether the high settles at 25°C or edges to 26–27°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-range variables against seasonal baselines, with no recent extreme-heat anomalies shifting the outlook.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
交易量
$709结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and Ventusky points to a Mexico City high near 25–26°C on August 19, aligning with the market’s tight split between those two outcomes. At the city’s high elevation, typical August daytime maxima average 24–26°C under the influence of the rainy season, when afternoon cloud build-up and showers often cap peak temperatures. Current guidance shows partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, introducing minor uncertainty around exact solar heating and thus whether the high settles at 25°C or edges to 26–27°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-range variables against seasonal baselines, with no recent extreme-heat anomalies shifting the outlook.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$709结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETRecent forecast model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and Ventusky points to a Mexico City high near 25–26°C on August 19, aligning with the market’s tight split between those two outcomes. At the city’s high elevation, typical August daytime maxima average 24–26°C under the influence of the rainy season, when afternoon cloud build-up and showers often cap peak temperatures. Current guidance shows partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, introducing minor uncertainty around exact solar heating and thus whether the high settles at 25°C or edges to 26–27°C. Traders appear to weigh these short-range variables against seasonal baselines, with no recent extreme-heat anomalies shifting the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题