Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum of 24–26 °C in Mexico City on August 28, driven by the city’s high elevation near 2,240 m, widespread cloud cover, and scattered heavy showers tied to the North American monsoon. These conditions suppress solar heating and keep afternoon temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Multiple numerical models converge on this narrow range, with 25 °C representing the most probable outcome within the official guidance. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25 °C (60.5 %) and secondary support for 24 °C and 26 °C therefore mirrors the current consensus of authoritative meteorological data and the limited upside for deviation on this date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日墨西哥城气温最高?
25°C 60%
24°C 26%
26°C 13%
23°C 3%
$9,399 交易量
$9,399 交易量
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
26%
25°C
60%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C或更高
<1%
25°C 60%
24°C 26%
26°C 13%
23°C 3%
$9,399 交易量
$9,399 交易量
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
26%
25°C
60%
26°C
13%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum of 24–26 °C in Mexico City on August 28, driven by the city’s high elevation near 2,240 m, widespread cloud cover, and scattered heavy showers tied to the North American monsoon. These conditions suppress solar heating and keep afternoon temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Multiple numerical models converge on this narrow range, with 25 °C representing the most probable outcome within the official guidance. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25 °C (60.5 %) and secondary support for 24 °C and 26 °C therefore mirrors the current consensus of authoritative meteorological data and the limited upside for deviation on this date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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