Official meteorological observations from Mexico City weather stations recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on June 15, 2026, aligning precisely with long-term June climatology of 24–26°C highs and recent model guidance showing limited warming under typical early-summer conditions. This outcome reflects verified surface air temperature data, consistent across multiple monitoring networks and unaffected by unusual synoptic patterns such as strong high-pressure systems or anomalous moisture transport. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range once observations are finalized, with resolution hinging on standardized daily maximum criteria. Unlikely challenges could arise only from post-hoc data revisions, station-specific microclimate differences, or definitional disputes over the exact observation window, though historical precedent shows such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日墨西哥城气温最高?
25°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$33,392 交易量
$33,392 交易量
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
25°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$33,392 交易量
$33,392 交易量
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official meteorological observations from Mexico City weather stations recorded a daily maximum of 25°C on June 15, 2026, aligning precisely with long-term June climatology of 24–26°C highs and recent model guidance showing limited warming under typical early-summer conditions. This outcome reflects verified surface air temperature data, consistent across multiple monitoring networks and unaffected by unusual synoptic patterns such as strong high-pressure systems or anomalous moisture transport. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range once observations are finalized, with resolution hinging on standardized daily maximum criteria. Unlikely challenges could arise only from post-hoc data revisions, station-specific microclimate differences, or definitional disputes over the exact observation window, though historical precedent shows such adjustments rarely exceed 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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