Recent European weather model consensus, including ECMWF and Italian meteorological agency guidance, positions Milan for a peak temperature of 34–35°C on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits cooling. These conditions follow several days of above-average warmth across the Po Valley, with observed highs near 33–36°C through August 10. Forecast uncertainty remains centered on exact timing of any afternoon convection or slight wind shifts that could cap readings at 33°C or allow brief spikes toward 36°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 35°C leading at 41.5% as traders weigh the latest model runs and historical August extremes for the region. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through August 11 will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日米兰的最高温度？
8月12日米兰的最高温度？
35°C 42%
34°C 29%
33°C 13%
36°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
13%
34°C
29%
35°C
42%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 42%
34°C 29%
33°C 13%
36°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
29°C or below
$12 交易量
<1%
30°C
$12 交易量
<1%
31°C
$12 交易量
1%
32°C
$6 交易量
4%
33°C
$56 交易量
13%
34°C
$133 交易量
29%
35°C
$140 交易量
42%
36°C
$114 交易量
10%
37°C
$10 交易量
3%
38°C
$12 交易量
1%
39°C or higher
$12 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European weather model consensus, including ECMWF and Italian meteorological agency guidance, positions Milan for a peak temperature of 34–35°C on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits cooling. These conditions follow several days of above-average warmth across the Po Valley, with observed highs near 33–36°C through August 10. Forecast uncertainty remains centered on exact timing of any afternoon convection or slight wind shifts that could cap readings at 33°C or allow brief spikes toward 36°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 35°C leading at 41.5% as traders weigh the latest model runs and historical August extremes for the region. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through August 11 will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$519结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European weather model consensus, including ECMWF and Italian meteorological agency guidance, positions Milan for a peak temperature of 34–35°C on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits cooling. These conditions follow several days of above-average warmth across the Po Valley, with observed highs near 33–36°C through August 10. Forecast uncertainty remains centered on exact timing of any afternoon convection or slight wind shifts that could cap readings at 33°C or allow brief spikes toward 36°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 35°C leading at 41.5% as traders weigh the latest model runs and historical August extremes for the region. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through August 11 will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$519结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent European weather model consensus, including ECMWF and Italian meteorological agency guidance, positions Milan for a peak temperature of 34–35°C on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits cooling. These conditions follow several days of above-average warmth across the Po Valley, with observed highs near 33–36°C through August 10. Forecast uncertainty remains centered on exact timing of any afternoon convection or slight wind shifts that could cap readings at 33°C or allow brief spikes toward 36°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 35°C leading at 41.5% as traders weigh the latest model runs and historical August extremes for the region. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through August 11 will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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