Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that Moscow's highest temperature at Vnukovo International Airport reached exactly 9°C on April 26, backed by NOAA observational data showing peak readings amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity exceeding 80%, and intermittent rain that curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcentr) had forecasted daytime highs of 6–11°C under a Baltic cyclone influence, with southerly winds and overcast skies aligning precisely with these conditions, preventing further warming after midday. Typical late-April highs average 10–12°C historically, but today's cool, moist airmass dominated. Realistic challenges would require rare post-daylight data revisions from NOAA, unlikely given consistent METAR reports stabilizing around 8–9°C through evening. Final resolution awaits official NOAA confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月26日莫斯科最高气温?
9°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$143,931 交易量
$143,931 交易量
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
是
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或更高
否
9°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$143,931 交易量
$143,931 交易量
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
是
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 24, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that Moscow's highest temperature at Vnukovo International Airport reached exactly 9°C on April 26, backed by NOAA observational data showing peak readings amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity exceeding 80%, and intermittent rain that curtailed solar insolation and convective heating. Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcentr) had forecasted daytime highs of 6–11°C under a Baltic cyclone influence, with southerly winds and overcast skies aligning precisely with these conditions, preventing further warming after midday. Typical late-April highs average 10–12°C historically, but today's cool, moist airmass dominated. Realistic challenges would require rare post-daylight data revisions from NOAA, unlikely given consistent METAR reports stabilizing around 8–9°C through evening. Final resolution awaits official NOAA confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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