The dominant market positioning at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City on June 4 reflects confirmation from official meteorological observations that the daily maximum reached or exceeded this threshold. In Panama’s humid tropical climate, early June conditions typically feature strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover during peak heating hours, supporting afternoon highs in the low 30s Celsius according to historical station data. Trader consensus, informed by real capital at risk, has aligned with the verified records from local weather monitoring networks, rendering lower outcomes effectively impossible under standard resolution criteria. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or selection of an alternate measurement source, though such changes are uncommon once initial reports are finalized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Panama City on June 4?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 4?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$21,467 交易量
$21,467 交易量
2026-06-04
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$21,467 交易量
$21,467 交易量
2026-06-04
21°C or below
$129 交易量
No
22°C
$146 交易量
No
23°C
$202 交易量
No
24°C
$141 交易量
No
25°C
$156 交易量
No
26°C
$353 交易量
No
27°C
$653 交易量
No
28°C
$5,669 交易量
No
29°C
$3,391 交易量
No
30°C
$3,385 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$7,243 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market positioning at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City on June 4 reflects confirmation from official meteorological observations that the daily maximum reached or exceeded this threshold. In Panama’s humid tropical climate, early June conditions typically feature strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover during peak heating hours, supporting afternoon highs in the low 30s Celsius according to historical station data. Trader consensus, informed by real capital at risk, has aligned with the verified records from local weather monitoring networks, rendering lower outcomes effectively impossible under standard resolution criteria. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or selection of an alternate measurement source, though such changes are uncommon once initial reports are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$21,467结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market positioning at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City on June 4 reflects confirmation from official meteorological observations that the daily maximum reached or exceeded this threshold. In Panama’s humid tropical climate, early June conditions typically feature strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover during peak heating hours, supporting afternoon highs in the low 30s Celsius according to historical station data. Trader consensus, informed by real capital at risk, has aligned with the verified records from local weather monitoring networks, rendering lower outcomes effectively impossible under standard resolution criteria. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or selection of an alternate measurement source, though such changes are uncommon once initial reports are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21,467结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The dominant market positioning at 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City on June 4 reflects confirmation from official meteorological observations that the daily maximum reached or exceeded this threshold. In Panama’s humid tropical climate, early June conditions typically feature strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover during peak heating hours, supporting afternoon highs in the low 30s Celsius according to historical station data. Trader consensus, informed by real capital at risk, has aligned with the verified records from local weather monitoring networks, rendering lower outcomes effectively impossible under standard resolution criteria. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or selection of an alternate measurement source, though such changes are uncommon once initial reports are finalized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题