Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high temperature in San Francisco on May 3, 2026, driven by Weather Underground's official KSFO station data confirming a maximum of 63°F at 1:56 PM and 2:56 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds gusting to 18 mph. Persistent marine stratus from the cold California Current capped daytime heating, aligning with National Weather Service pre-event forecasts near 65°F but moderated by slow burn-off and light rain (0.03 inches), consistent with May climatology at KSFO where highs average 63°F. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions or station discrepancies, though ASOS observations provide robust verification; no further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 3?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 3?
62-63°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$49,429 交易量
$49,429 交易量
2026-05-03
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$49,429 交易量
$49,429 交易量
2026-05-03
47°F or below
$1,946 交易量
No
48-49°F
$1,128 交易量
No
50-51°F
$1,052 交易量
No
52-53°F
$1,660 交易量
No
54-55°F
$2,878 交易量
No
56-57°F
$2,817 交易量
No
58-59°F
$5,356 交易量
No
60-61°F
$7,918 交易量
No
62-63°F
$10,074 交易量
Yes
64-65°F
$9,100 交易量
No
66°F or higher
$5,500 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high temperature in San Francisco on May 3, 2026, driven by Weather Underground's official KSFO station data confirming a maximum of 63°F at 1:56 PM and 2:56 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds gusting to 18 mph. Persistent marine stratus from the cold California Current capped daytime heating, aligning with National Weather Service pre-event forecasts near 65°F but moderated by slow burn-off and light rain (0.03 inches), consistent with May climatology at KSFO where highs average 63°F. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions or station discrepancies, though ASOS observations provide robust verification; no further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
交易量
$49,429结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:49 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high temperature in San Francisco on May 3, 2026, driven by Weather Underground's official KSFO station data confirming a maximum of 63°F at 1:56 PM and 2:56 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds gusting to 18 mph. Persistent marine stratus from the cold California Current capped daytime heating, aligning with National Weather Service pre-event forecasts near 65°F but moderated by slow burn-off and light rain (0.03 inches), consistent with May climatology at KSFO where highs average 63°F. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions or station discrepancies, though ASOS observations provide robust verification; no further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$49,429结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:49 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% implied probability for a 62-63°F high temperature in San Francisco on May 3, 2026, driven by Weather Underground's official KSFO station data confirming a maximum of 63°F at 1:56 PM and 2:56 PM amid mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds gusting to 18 mph. Persistent marine stratus from the cold California Current capped daytime heating, aligning with National Weather Service pre-event forecasts near 65°F but moderated by slow burn-off and light rain (0.03 inches), consistent with May climatology at KSFO where highs average 63°F. Rare challenges could arise from data revisions or station discrepancies, though ASOS observations provide robust verification; no further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题