Forecast models for São Paulo on June 23, 2026, cluster around a daily maximum of 21–23 °C because the city sits under a cool winter airmass typical of the Southern Hemisphere dry season, with limited solar heating from partial cloud cover and possible weak frontal passages. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise timing of any cold-air advection from the south, variations in low-level wind direction that either enhance or suppress urban heat-island effects, and model spread in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing. ECMWF and GFS runs show modest disagreement on whether a brief clearing will allow an extra degree of afternoon warming or whether lingering moisture keeps readings closer to 21 °C. Traders weigh these uncertainties against historical June maxima near 22–25 °C, producing the tight distribution seen in current market prices.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月23日圣保罗的最高温度?
22°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$69,121 交易量
$69,121 交易量
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或更高
否
22°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$69,121 交易量
$69,121 交易量
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Forecast models for São Paulo on June 23, 2026, cluster around a daily maximum of 21–23 °C because the city sits under a cool winter airmass typical of the Southern Hemisphere dry season, with limited solar heating from partial cloud cover and possible weak frontal passages. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise timing of any cold-air advection from the south, variations in low-level wind direction that either enhance or suppress urban heat-island effects, and model spread in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing. ECMWF and GFS runs show modest disagreement on whether a brief clearing will allow an extra degree of afternoon warming or whether lingering moisture keeps readings closer to 21 °C. Traders weigh these uncertainties against historical June maxima near 22–25 °C, producing the tight distribution seen in current market prices.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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