Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 6, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid trader consensus backed by real-money positions. A dominant mass of dry air over southeastern Brazil suppressed cloud cover, enabling strong solar insolation and temperatures aligning precisely with INMET's pre-event forecast of 28-29°C maxima under clear skies and low humidity around 60%. This fits early May climatology, where autumn highs average 22-23°C but recent above-normal warmth—tied to lingering subtropical ridge patterns—pushed peaks higher. Scenarios challenging this include potential INMET data revisions from quality control or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though verified reports from multiple sources make such shifts highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 6?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 6?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$38,071 交易量
$38,071 交易量
2026-05-06
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$38,071 交易量
$38,071 交易量
2026-05-06
24°C or below
$1,608 交易量
No
25°C
$1,496 交易量
No
26°C
$3,285 交易量
No
27°C
$3,169 交易量
No
28°C
$6,205 交易量
No
29°C
$6,163 交易量
Yes
30°C
$4,465 交易量
No
31°C
$4,803 交易量
No
32°C
$2,519 交易量
No
33°C
$1,158 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$3,199 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 6, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid trader consensus backed by real-money positions. A dominant mass of dry air over southeastern Brazil suppressed cloud cover, enabling strong solar insolation and temperatures aligning precisely with INMET's pre-event forecast of 28-29°C maxima under clear skies and low humidity around 60%. This fits early May climatology, where autumn highs average 22-23°C but recent above-normal warmth—tied to lingering subtropical ridge patterns—pushed peaks higher. Scenarios challenging this include potential INMET data revisions from quality control or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though verified reports from multiple sources make such shifts highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
交易量
$38,071结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:17 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 6, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid trader consensus backed by real-money positions. A dominant mass of dry air over southeastern Brazil suppressed cloud cover, enabling strong solar insolation and temperatures aligning precisely with INMET's pre-event forecast of 28-29°C maxima under clear skies and low humidity around 60%. This fits early May climatology, where autumn highs average 22-23°C but recent above-normal warmth—tied to lingering subtropical ridge patterns—pushed peaks higher. Scenarios challenging this include potential INMET data revisions from quality control or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though verified reports from multiple sources make such shifts highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$38,071结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:17 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 6, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid trader consensus backed by real-money positions. A dominant mass of dry air over southeastern Brazil suppressed cloud cover, enabling strong solar insolation and temperatures aligning precisely with INMET's pre-event forecast of 28-29°C maxima under clear skies and low humidity around 60%. This fits early May climatology, where autumn highs average 22-23°C but recent above-normal warmth—tied to lingering subtropical ridge patterns—pushed peaks higher. Scenarios challenging this include potential INMET data revisions from quality control or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though verified reports from multiple sources make such shifts highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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