Forecast models from multiple sources project a high near 31–32°C in Shanghai on September 26, 2026, amid increasing cloud cover and a 60–74% chance of showers or scattered thunderstorms as a weather system moves through. These conditions introduce uncertainty in the daily maximum: stronger or earlier rainfall can reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, favoring outcomes around 29–30°C, while delayed or lighter precipitation allows more insolation and supports peaks of 32–33°C. Recent days have seen highs of 28–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, providing limited climatological precedent for sharp deviations. Updated model runs closer to the date will clarify the timing and intensity of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow temperature band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月26日上海气温最高？
9月26日上海气温最高？
30°C 24%
29°C 22%
32°C 21%
27℃或以下 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
27℃或以下
20%
28°C
14%
29°C
22%
30°C
24%
31°C
11%
32°C
21%
33°C
20%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
1%
30°C 24%
29°C 22%
32°C 21%
27℃或以下 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
27℃或以下
$0 交易量
20%
28°C
$66 交易量
14%
29°C
$67 交易量
22%
30°C
$0 交易量
24%
31°C
$0 交易量
11%
32°C
$0 交易量
21%
33°C
$0 交易量
20%
34°C
$187 交易量
3%
35°C
$0 交易量
2%
36°C
$0 交易量
1%
37°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources project a high near 31–32°C in Shanghai on September 26, 2026, amid increasing cloud cover and a 60–74% chance of showers or scattered thunderstorms as a weather system moves through. These conditions introduce uncertainty in the daily maximum: stronger or earlier rainfall can reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, favoring outcomes around 29–30°C, while delayed or lighter precipitation allows more insolation and supports peaks of 32–33°C. Recent days have seen highs of 28–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, providing limited climatological precedent for sharp deviations. Updated model runs closer to the date will clarify the timing and intensity of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow temperature band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$320结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources project a high near 31–32°C in Shanghai on September 26, 2026, amid increasing cloud cover and a 60–74% chance of showers or scattered thunderstorms as a weather system moves through. These conditions introduce uncertainty in the daily maximum: stronger or earlier rainfall can reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, favoring outcomes around 29–30°C, while delayed or lighter precipitation allows more insolation and supports peaks of 32–33°C. Recent days have seen highs of 28–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, providing limited climatological precedent for sharp deviations. Updated model runs closer to the date will clarify the timing and intensity of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow temperature band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$320结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from multiple sources project a high near 31–32°C in Shanghai on September 26, 2026, amid increasing cloud cover and a 60–74% chance of showers or scattered thunderstorms as a weather system moves through. These conditions introduce uncertainty in the daily maximum: stronger or earlier rainfall can reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, favoring outcomes around 29–30°C, while delayed or lighter precipitation allows more insolation and supports peaks of 32–33°C. Recent days have seen highs of 28–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, providing limited climatological precedent for sharp deviations. Updated model runs closer to the date will clarify the timing and intensity of any convection, directly influencing resolution probabilities in this narrow temperature band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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