Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 32°C as Taipei's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, at the Songshan Airport station, backed by real-time observations from the Central Weather Administration (CWA) and METAR reports showing a peak of 32°C amid mostly clear skies, 49% relative humidity, and stable pressures around 1013 hPa. Diurnal heating has peaked mid-afternoon under light easterly winds, with CWA's latest forecast capping daytime highs at 32–33°C before cooling into evening. This aligns with April climatological norms of 24–27°C averages but recent warmer trends in the upper 20s–low 30s°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine or adiabatic warming from terrain effects pushing to 33°C+, though declining solar angles reduce this risk as observations finalize by midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 20?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 20?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$84,692 交易量
$84,692 交易量
2026-04-20
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$84,692 交易量
$84,692 交易量
2026-04-20
25°C or below
$1,925 交易量
No
26°C
$2,524 交易量
No
27°C
$3,264 交易量
No
28°C
$6,375 交易量
No
29°C
$7,016 交易量
No
30°C
$7,049 交易量
No
31°C
$7,271 交易量
No
32°C
$17,908 交易量
Yes
33°C
$7,730 交易量
No
34°C
$13,321 交易量
No
35°C or higher
$10,309 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 32°C as Taipei's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, at the Songshan Airport station, backed by real-time observations from the Central Weather Administration (CWA) and METAR reports showing a peak of 32°C amid mostly clear skies, 49% relative humidity, and stable pressures around 1013 hPa. Diurnal heating has peaked mid-afternoon under light easterly winds, with CWA's latest forecast capping daytime highs at 32–33°C before cooling into evening. This aligns with April climatological norms of 24–27°C averages but recent warmer trends in the upper 20s–low 30s°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine or adiabatic warming from terrain effects pushing to 33°C+, though declining solar angles reduce this risk as observations finalize by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 18, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$84,692结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 18, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 32°C as Taipei's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, at the Songshan Airport station, backed by real-time observations from the Central Weather Administration (CWA) and METAR reports showing a peak of 32°C amid mostly clear skies, 49% relative humidity, and stable pressures around 1013 hPa. Diurnal heating has peaked mid-afternoon under light easterly winds, with CWA's latest forecast capping daytime highs at 32–33°C before cooling into evening. This aligns with April climatological norms of 24–27°C averages but recent warmer trends in the upper 20s–low 30s°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine or adiabatic warming from terrain effects pushing to 33°C+, though declining solar angles reduce this risk as observations finalize by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$84,692结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 18, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 32°C as Taipei's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, at the Songshan Airport station, backed by real-time observations from the Central Weather Administration (CWA) and METAR reports showing a peak of 32°C amid mostly clear skies, 49% relative humidity, and stable pressures around 1013 hPa. Diurnal heating has peaked mid-afternoon under light easterly winds, with CWA's latest forecast capping daytime highs at 32–33°C before cooling into evening. This aligns with April climatological norms of 24–27°C averages but recent warmer trends in the upper 20s–low 30s°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine or adiabatic warming from terrain effects pushing to 33°C+, though declining solar angles reduce this risk as observations finalize by midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题