Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 32°C highest temperature in Taipei on April 28, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, which recorded a peak of 32°C during afternoon hours under mostly clear skies and light winds conducive to standard diurnal heating. This aligns with CWA's latest forecast of 21–32°C highs amid near-normal April climatology, with minimal cloud cover allowing maximum solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-evening heat burst from downslope winds or a CWA data revision, though evening cooling and sunset reduce such risks as final daily reports finalize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 28?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 28?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$109,813 交易量
$109,813 交易量
2026-04-28
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$109,813 交易量
$109,813 交易量
2026-04-28
24°C or below
$3,088 交易量
No
25°C
$3,143 交易量
No
26°C
$2,539 交易量
No
27°C
$4,684 交易量
No
28°C
$5,804 交易量
No
29°C
$13,441 交易量
No
30°C
$4,803 交易量
No
31°C
$13,541 交易量
No
32°C
$31,425 交易量
Yes
33°C
$8,856 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$18,488 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 32°C highest temperature in Taipei on April 28, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, which recorded a peak of 32°C during afternoon hours under mostly clear skies and light winds conducive to standard diurnal heating. This aligns with CWA's latest forecast of 21–32°C highs amid near-normal April climatology, with minimal cloud cover allowing maximum solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-evening heat burst from downslope winds or a CWA data revision, though evening cooling and sunset reduce such risks as final daily reports finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 26, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$109,813结束日期
2026-04-28市场开放时间
Apr 26, 2026, 12:18 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 32°C highest temperature in Taipei on April 28, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, which recorded a peak of 32°C during afternoon hours under mostly clear skies and light winds conducive to standard diurnal heating. This aligns with CWA's latest forecast of 21–32°C highs amid near-normal April climatology, with minimal cloud cover allowing maximum solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-evening heat burst from downslope winds or a CWA data revision, though evening cooling and sunset reduce such risks as final daily reports finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$109,813结束日期
2026-04-28市场开放时间
Apr 26, 2026, 12:18 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 32°C highest temperature in Taipei on April 28, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, which recorded a peak of 32°C during afternoon hours under mostly clear skies and light winds conducive to standard diurnal heating. This aligns with CWA's latest forecast of 21–32°C highs amid near-normal April climatology, with minimal cloud cover allowing maximum solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-evening heat burst from downslope winds or a CWA data revision, though evening cooling and sunset reduce such risks as final daily reports finalize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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