Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Tel Aviv under stable high pressure with mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds on September 26, supporting daytime maxima near 28–30°C. Light winds limit mixing while moderate humidity (55–60%) and peak solar insolation under minimal cloud cover favor the upper end of that range, consistent with late-September climatology. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in the timing of maximum heating and boundary-layer depth rather than major synoptic shifts. With the market-implied odds clustered tightly around 27–31°C, traders appear to price residual uncertainty in final forecast adjustments and observational resolution criteria before the close of the trading day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月26日特拉维夫的最高温度？
9月26日特拉维夫的最高温度？
29°C 46%
30°C 31%
28°C 21%
27°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
20%
28°C
21%
29°C
46%
30°C
31%
31°C
8%
32°C
15%
33°C
16%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C或以上
<1%
29°C 46%
30°C 31%
28°C 21%
27°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
26°C或以下
$170 交易量
<1%
27°C
$0 交易量
20%
28°C
$0 交易量
21%
29°C
$76 交易量
46%
30°C
$3 交易量
31%
31°C
$5 交易量
8%
32°C
$0 交易量
15%
33°C
$0 交易量
16%
34°C
$0 交易量
4%
35°C
$0 交易量
2%
36°C或以上
$110 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Tel Aviv under stable high pressure with mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds on September 26, supporting daytime maxima near 28–30°C. Light winds limit mixing while moderate humidity (55–60%) and peak solar insolation under minimal cloud cover favor the upper end of that range, consistent with late-September climatology. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in the timing of maximum heating and boundary-layer depth rather than major synoptic shifts. With the market-implied odds clustered tightly around 27–31°C, traders appear to price residual uncertainty in final forecast adjustments and observational resolution criteria before the close of the trading day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$364结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Tel Aviv under stable high pressure with mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds on September 26, supporting daytime maxima near 28–30°C. Light winds limit mixing while moderate humidity (55–60%) and peak solar insolation under minimal cloud cover favor the upper end of that range, consistent with late-September climatology. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in the timing of maximum heating and boundary-layer depth rather than major synoptic shifts. With the market-implied odds clustered tightly around 27–31°C, traders appear to price residual uncertainty in final forecast adjustments and observational resolution criteria before the close of the trading day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$364结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Tel Aviv under stable high pressure with mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds on September 26, supporting daytime maxima near 28–30°C. Light winds limit mixing while moderate humidity (55–60%) and peak solar insolation under minimal cloud cover favor the upper end of that range, consistent with late-September climatology. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in the timing of maximum heating and boundary-layer depth rather than major synoptic shifts. With the market-implied odds clustered tightly around 27–31°C, traders appear to price residual uncertainty in final forecast adjustments and observational resolution criteria before the close of the trading day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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