Recent global model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 26 near 24–25°C, consistent with late-September climatology under typical Mediterranean conditions of moderate northwest winds and clear to partly cloudy skies. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and regional pressure gradients limit overnight cooling, while minor differences in model timing of any weak trough or humidity levels introduce spread around this central range. With leading market-implied probabilities nearly even between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes, traders appear to be pricing substantial uncertainty in the exact low, driven by potential shifts in forecast guidance over the next 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月26日特拉维夫最低气温？
9月26日特拉维夫最低气温？
18°C或以下 96%
28°C或更高 92%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
18°C或以下
96%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
30%
22°C
39%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C或更高
92%
18°C或以下 96%
28°C或更高 92%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
96%
19°C
$0 交易量
39%
20°C
$0 交易量
39%
21°C
$0 交易量
30%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
21%
24°C
$0 交易量
21%
25°C
$0 交易量
39%
26°C
$0 交易量
39%
27°C
$0 交易量
39%
28°C或更高
$0 交易量
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 26 near 24–25°C, consistent with late-September climatology under typical Mediterranean conditions of moderate northwest winds and clear to partly cloudy skies. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and regional pressure gradients limit overnight cooling, while minor differences in model timing of any weak trough or humidity levels introduce spread around this central range. With leading market-implied probabilities nearly even between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes, traders appear to be pricing substantial uncertainty in the exact low, driven by potential shifts in forecast guidance over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 26 near 24–25°C, consistent with late-September climatology under typical Mediterranean conditions of moderate northwest winds and clear to partly cloudy skies. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and regional pressure gradients limit overnight cooling, while minor differences in model timing of any weak trough or humidity levels introduce spread around this central range. With leading market-implied probabilities nearly even between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes, traders appear to be pricing substantial uncertainty in the exact low, driven by potential shifts in forecast guidance over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent global model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 26 near 24–25°C, consistent with late-September climatology under typical Mediterranean conditions of moderate northwest winds and clear to partly cloudy skies. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and regional pressure gradients limit overnight cooling, while minor differences in model timing of any weak trough or humidity levels introduce spread around this central range. With leading market-implied probabilities nearly even between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes, traders appear to be pricing substantial uncertainty in the exact low, driven by potential shifts in forecast guidance over the next 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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