Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 16°C at Wellington International Airport station on April 19, driven by official MetService observational data confirming this peak amid cloudy conditions, heavy showers, and a wind shift from northerlies to cooler southerlies. Initial forecasts from late April 17 projected up to 17°C, but persistent precipitation and cloud cover—evident in real-time radar and current readings around 13–16°C—have capped warming, aligning with April climatological norms of 16–18°C daily highs. Model consensus from MetService supports no further intensification, with unsettled weather prevailing. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and sustained northerlies before sunset, though current atmospheric conditions make this improbable; final daily observations will confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on April 19?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 19?
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$113,038 交易量
$113,038 交易量
2026-04-19
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$113,038 交易量
$113,038 交易量
2026-04-19
11°C or below
$8,400 交易量
No
12°C
$5,879 交易量
No
13°C
$2,544 交易量
No
14°C
$2,609 交易量
No
15°C
$9,405 交易量
No
16°C
$30,766 交易量
Yes
17°C
$21,162 交易量
No
18°C
$11,673 交易量
No
19°C
$10,458 交易量
No
20°C
$5,515 交易量
No
21°C or higher
$4,625 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 16°C at Wellington International Airport station on April 19, driven by official MetService observational data confirming this peak amid cloudy conditions, heavy showers, and a wind shift from northerlies to cooler southerlies. Initial forecasts from late April 17 projected up to 17°C, but persistent precipitation and cloud cover—evident in real-time radar and current readings around 13–16°C—have capped warming, aligning with April climatological norms of 16–18°C daily highs. Model consensus from MetService supports no further intensification, with unsettled weather prevailing. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and sustained northerlies before sunset, though current atmospheric conditions make this improbable; final daily observations will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$113,038结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 16°C at Wellington International Airport station on April 19, driven by official MetService observational data confirming this peak amid cloudy conditions, heavy showers, and a wind shift from northerlies to cooler southerlies. Initial forecasts from late April 17 projected up to 17°C, but persistent precipitation and cloud cover—evident in real-time radar and current readings around 13–16°C—have capped warming, aligning with April climatological norms of 16–18°C daily highs. Model consensus from MetService supports no further intensification, with unsettled weather prevailing. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and sustained northerlies before sunset, though current atmospheric conditions make this improbable; final daily observations will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$113,038结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 16°C at Wellington International Airport station on April 19, driven by official MetService observational data confirming this peak amid cloudy conditions, heavy showers, and a wind shift from northerlies to cooler southerlies. Initial forecasts from late April 17 projected up to 17°C, but persistent precipitation and cloud cover—evident in real-time radar and current readings around 13–16°C—have capped warming, aligning with April climatological norms of 16–18°C daily highs. Model consensus from MetService supports no further intensification, with unsettled weather prevailing. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and sustained northerlies before sunset, though current atmospheric conditions make this improbable; final daily observations will confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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