Recent National Weather Service guidance points to overnight lows near 58–66°F for Chicago on August 25, with the precise minimum hinging on evolving cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture ahead of a modest warm-up. Clear or partly cloudy skies under high pressure would enhance radiative cooling after sunset, favoring readings in the upper 50s, while increased clouds or a light southerly flow could limit drops to the mid-60s. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and typical late-August humidity levels add further variability, as even modest changes in dew points or mixing can shift the minimum by several degrees. With leading market outcomes clustered around 58–59°F yet substantial probability assigned to both cooler and warmer bins, traders are pricing in the inherent spread among short-range model solutions before final NWS observations at O’Hare resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日芝加哥最低气温？
8月25日芝加哥最低气温？
68°F or higher 67%
49°F or below 65%
52-53°F 49%
54-55°F 49%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
49°F or below
65%
50-51°F
21%
52-53°F
49%
54-55°F
49%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
37%
60-61°F
29%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
16%
68°F or higher
67%
68°F or higher 67%
49°F or below 65%
52-53°F 49%
54-55°F 49%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
49°F or below
$5 交易量
65%
50-51°F
$5 交易量
21%
52-53°F
$5 交易量
49%
54-55°F
$5 交易量
49%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
27%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
37%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
29%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
25%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
25%
66-67°F
$5 交易量
16%
68°F or higher
$5 交易量
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to overnight lows near 58–66°F for Chicago on August 25, with the precise minimum hinging on evolving cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture ahead of a modest warm-up. Clear or partly cloudy skies under high pressure would enhance radiative cooling after sunset, favoring readings in the upper 50s, while increased clouds or a light southerly flow could limit drops to the mid-60s. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and typical late-August humidity levels add further variability, as even modest changes in dew points or mixing can shift the minimum by several degrees. With leading market outcomes clustered around 58–59°F yet substantial probability assigned to both cooler and warmer bins, traders are pricing in the inherent spread among short-range model solutions before final NWS observations at O’Hare resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$30结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to overnight lows near 58–66°F for Chicago on August 25, with the precise minimum hinging on evolving cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture ahead of a modest warm-up. Clear or partly cloudy skies under high pressure would enhance radiative cooling after sunset, favoring readings in the upper 50s, while increased clouds or a light southerly flow could limit drops to the mid-60s. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and typical late-August humidity levels add further variability, as even modest changes in dew points or mixing can shift the minimum by several degrees. With leading market outcomes clustered around 58–59°F yet substantial probability assigned to both cooler and warmer bins, traders are pricing in the inherent spread among short-range model solutions before final NWS observations at O’Hare resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance points to overnight lows near 58–66°F for Chicago on August 25, with the precise minimum hinging on evolving cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture ahead of a modest warm-up. Clear or partly cloudy skies under high pressure would enhance radiative cooling after sunset, favoring readings in the upper 50s, while increased clouds or a light southerly flow could limit drops to the mid-60s. Lake Michigan’s moderating influence and typical late-August humidity levels add further variability, as even modest changes in dew points or mixing can shift the minimum by several degrees. With leading market outcomes clustered around 58–59°F yet substantial probability assigned to both cooler and warmer bins, traders are pricing in the inherent spread among short-range model solutions before final NWS observations at O’Hare resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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