Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Chongqing's daily minimum temperature on September 9 will hold near 29°C, driven by a persistent warm, moist air mass under mostly cloudy skies that limits radiative cooling overnight. Official observations and ensemble runs show overnight lows stabilizing in the upper 20s Celsius amid light southerly winds and high humidity around 50-70%, consistent with early September climatology where average minima hover near 22-24°C but current conditions have delayed seasonal cooling. Trader consensus at 93% implied probability for exactly 29°C reflects this model agreement, though a stronger cold front or unexpected clear-sky radiative loss could push readings to 27-28°C before midnight resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日重庆最低气温?
29°C 99.5%
28°C 20%
26°C 10%
24°C或以下 9%
$2,024 交易量
$2,024 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或以上
否
29°C 99.5%
28°C 20%
26°C 10%
24°C或以下 9%
$2,024 交易量
$2,024 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Chongqing's daily minimum temperature on September 9 will hold near 29°C, driven by a persistent warm, moist air mass under mostly cloudy skies that limits radiative cooling overnight. Official observations and ensemble runs show overnight lows stabilizing in the upper 20s Celsius amid light southerly winds and high humidity around 50-70%, consistent with early September climatology where average minima hover near 22-24°C but current conditions have delayed seasonal cooling. Trader consensus at 93% implied probability for exactly 29°C reflects this model agreement, though a stronger cold front or unexpected clear-sky radiative loss could push readings to 27-28°C before midnight resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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