Recent forecast models from the Met Office and GFS data indicate an overnight minimum near 13°C in London on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and limited radiative cooling. This aligns with the climatological average low of 12.4°C for the date and current observations showing temperatures stabilizing around 13–15°C through the night. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect strong model consensus on these conditions. A realistic shift below 13°C would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow than projected, while warmer readings could occur only with unexpected cloud cover or delayed cooling. Final official readings from stations like Heathrow will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日伦敦最低气温？
9月5日伦敦最低气温？
13°C 100%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$9,833 交易量
$9,833 交易量
2026-09-05
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或更高
否
13°C 100%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$9,833 交易量
$9,833 交易量
2026-09-05
10°C或以下
$180 交易量
否
11°C
$790 交易量
否
12°C
$797 交易量
否
13°C
$2,619 交易量
是
14°C
$2,341 交易量
否
15°C
$1,218 交易量
否
16°C
$60 交易量
否
17°C
$60 交易量
否
18°C
$1,620 交易量
否
19°C
$88 交易量
否
20°C或更高
$60 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Met Office and GFS data indicate an overnight minimum near 13°C in London on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and limited radiative cooling. This aligns with the climatological average low of 12.4°C for the date and current observations showing temperatures stabilizing around 13–15°C through the night. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect strong model consensus on these conditions. A realistic shift below 13°C would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow than projected, while warmer readings could occur only with unexpected cloud cover or delayed cooling. Final official readings from stations like Heathrow will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$9,833结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Met Office and GFS data indicate an overnight minimum near 13°C in London on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and limited radiative cooling. This aligns with the climatological average low of 12.4°C for the date and current observations showing temperatures stabilizing around 13–15°C through the night. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect strong model consensus on these conditions. A realistic shift below 13°C would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow than projected, while warmer readings could occur only with unexpected cloud cover or delayed cooling. Final official readings from stations like Heathrow will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,833结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent forecast models from the Met Office and GFS data indicate an overnight minimum near 13°C in London on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and limited radiative cooling. This aligns with the climatological average low of 12.4°C for the date and current observations showing temperatures stabilizing around 13–15°C through the night. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect strong model consensus on these conditions. A realistic shift below 13°C would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow than projected, while warmer readings could occur only with unexpected cloud cover or delayed cooling. Final official readings from stations like Heathrow will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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