National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum of 78°F early on June 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 78-79°F bracket that commands essentially 100% market-implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow maintained typical early-summer overnight minima in the upper 70s, matching AccuWeather and NWS model consensus that placed lows near the June climatological average of roughly 76–80°F. Forecasters noted no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture shifts that might have depressed readings further. A sudden nocturnal thunderstorm complex or station-specific microclimate anomaly could theoretically shift the official value by a degree or two, but such events remain statistically rare in mid-June and would need to overcome the broad model agreement observed in the days leading up to the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日迈阿密最低气温？
6月15日迈阿密最低气温？
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F或更低 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$20,261 交易量
$20,261 交易量
2026-06-15
67°F或更低
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
是
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86°F或更高
否
78-79°F 100.0%
67°F或更低 <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$20,261 交易量
$20,261 交易量
2026-06-15
67°F或更低
$2,227 交易量
否
68-69°F
$634 交易量
否
70-71°F
$2,535 交易量
否
72-73°F
$1,069 交易量
否
74-75°F
$2,722 交易量
否
76-77°F
$2,066 交易量
否
78-79°F
$3,401 交易量
是
80-81°F
$2,842 交易量
否
82-83°F
$1,029 交易量
否
84-85°F
$731 交易量
否
86°F或更高
$1,005 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum of 78°F early on June 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 78-79°F bracket that commands essentially 100% market-implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow maintained typical early-summer overnight minima in the upper 70s, matching AccuWeather and NWS model consensus that placed lows near the June climatological average of roughly 76–80°F. Forecasters noted no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture shifts that might have depressed readings further. A sudden nocturnal thunderstorm complex or station-specific microclimate anomaly could theoretically shift the official value by a degree or two, but such events remain statistically rare in mid-June and would need to overcome the broad model agreement observed in the days leading up to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
交易量
$20,261结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum of 78°F early on June 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 78-79°F bracket that commands essentially 100% market-implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow maintained typical early-summer overnight minima in the upper 70s, matching AccuWeather and NWS model consensus that placed lows near the June climatological average of roughly 76–80°F. Forecasters noted no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture shifts that might have depressed readings further. A sudden nocturnal thunderstorm complex or station-specific microclimate anomaly could theoretically shift the official value by a degree or two, but such events remain statistically rare in mid-June and would need to overcome the broad model agreement observed in the days leading up to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,261结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport recorded a minimum of 78°F early on June 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the 78-79°F bracket that commands essentially 100% market-implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow maintained typical early-summer overnight minima in the upper 70s, matching AccuWeather and NWS model consensus that placed lows near the June climatological average of roughly 76–80°F. Forecasters noted no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture shifts that might have depressed readings further. A sudden nocturnal thunderstorm complex or station-specific microclimate anomaly could theoretically shift the official value by a degree or two, but such events remain statistically rare in mid-June and would need to overcome the broad model agreement observed in the days leading up to the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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