Latest ensemble forecasts from European models indicate Munich's overnight low on September 13 will likely settle near 15°C, driven by mild westerly flow off the Atlantic, increasing cloud cover, and a developing frontal system that limits radiative cooling. This setup favors temperatures several degrees above the September climatological average low of roughly 10°C, with dew points supporting limited overnight drops. Trader consensus around 10–11°C outcomes appears anchored in historical variability and model spread on exact cloud timing, while lower-probability colder bins reflect downside risks if clearer skies allow more cooling before dawn. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will provide the next key inputs for refining the minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日慕尼黑最低气温?
7°C或以下 58%
17°C或更高 51%
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
7°C或以下
58%
8°C
11%
9°C
25%
10°C
30%
11°C
28%
12°C
23%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
38%
17°C或更高
51%
7°C或以下 58%
17°C或更高 51%
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
7°C或以下
58%
8°C
11%
9°C
25%
10°C
30%
11°C
28%
12°C
23%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
38%
17°C或更高
51%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from European models indicate Munich's overnight low on September 13 will likely settle near 15°C, driven by mild westerly flow off the Atlantic, increasing cloud cover, and a developing frontal system that limits radiative cooling. This setup favors temperatures several degrees above the September climatological average low of roughly 10°C, with dew points supporting limited overnight drops. Trader consensus around 10–11°C outcomes appears anchored in historical variability and model spread on exact cloud timing, while lower-probability colder bins reflect downside risks if clearer skies allow more cooling before dawn. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will provide the next key inputs for refining the minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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