Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a 17°C morning low for Seoul on June 2 under clear to partly cloudy early-summer conditions, with ensemble models showing tight consensus and minimal spread. This aligns closely with climatological baselines of 14–18°C for the period and has driven the market’s near-certain positioning on that outcome. Traders are weighting the verified observational methodology—lowest temperature recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m.—and the absence of significant atmospheric variability that could produce outliers. Only an unforeseen late adjustment in the final measurement window or localized microclimate effects would realistically shift the result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 2?
17°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$47,104 交易量
$47,104 交易量
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$47,104 交易量
$47,104 交易量
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 31, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a 17°C morning low for Seoul on June 2 under clear to partly cloudy early-summer conditions, with ensemble models showing tight consensus and minimal spread. This aligns closely with climatological baselines of 14–18°C for the period and has driven the market’s near-certain positioning on that outcome. Traders are weighting the verified observational methodology—lowest temperature recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m.—and the absence of significant atmospheric variability that could produce outliers. Only an unforeseen late adjustment in the final measurement window or localized microclimate effects would realistically shift the result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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