Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and model consensus point to an overnight minimum near 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 19, driven by mostly cloudy skies, humidity levels of 75–80%, and urban heat retention that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-August, where average lows hover around 23–24°C, though the broader 2026 summer outlook from JMA indicates above-normal temperatures overall. Persistent atmospheric stability and the absence of significant cooling fronts or typhoon influences have reinforced trader-implied probabilities around these thresholds, with limited volatility expected until updated model runs closer to the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日东京最低气温？
8月19日东京最低气温？
25°C 47%
24°C 34%
23°C 14%
26°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
14%
24°C
34%
25°C
47%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28℃
4%
29°C
1%
30℃或以上
<1%
25°C 47%
24°C 34%
23°C 14%
26°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
20°C或以下
$42 交易量
<1%
21°C
$10 交易量
1%
22°C
$32 交易量
3%
23°C
$84 交易量
14%
24°C
$130 交易量
34%
25°C
$145 交易量
47%
26°C
$159 交易量
8%
27°C
$42 交易量
2%
28℃
$10 交易量
4%
29°C
$5 交易量
1%
30℃或以上
$10 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and model consensus point to an overnight minimum near 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 19, driven by mostly cloudy skies, humidity levels of 75–80%, and urban heat retention that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-August, where average lows hover around 23–24°C, though the broader 2026 summer outlook from JMA indicates above-normal temperatures overall. Persistent atmospheric stability and the absence of significant cooling fronts or typhoon influences have reinforced trader-implied probabilities around these thresholds, with limited volatility expected until updated model runs closer to the date.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$671结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and model consensus point to an overnight minimum near 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 19, driven by mostly cloudy skies, humidity levels of 75–80%, and urban heat retention that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-August, where average lows hover around 23–24°C, though the broader 2026 summer outlook from JMA indicates above-normal temperatures overall. Persistent atmospheric stability and the absence of significant cooling fronts or typhoon influences have reinforced trader-implied probabilities around these thresholds, with limited volatility expected until updated model runs closer to the date.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$671结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and model consensus point to an overnight minimum near 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 19, driven by mostly cloudy skies, humidity levels of 75–80%, and urban heat retention that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-August, where average lows hover around 23–24°C, though the broader 2026 summer outlook from JMA indicates above-normal temperatures overall. Persistent atmospheric stability and the absence of significant cooling fronts or typhoon influences have reinforced trader-implied probabilities around these thresholds, with limited volatility expected until updated model runs closer to the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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