Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show a strong consensus for a minimum air temperature of 12°C in Warsaw overnight on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly winds associated with a stable high-pressure system. Daytime highs reached 27–29°C with minimal cloud cover, allowing efficient radiational cooling after sunset as dew points remain in the mid-teens Celsius. This aligns with climatological expectations for early September in central Poland, where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C absent frontal systems. Market-implied odds near 99.5% for exactly 12°C reflect trader confidence in these stable conditions, though a modest increase in low-level moisture or unexpected wind shift could nudge the official station reading one degree either way before midnight local time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日华沙最低气温？
9月8日华沙最低气温？
12°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$5,853 交易量
$5,853 交易量
2026-09-08
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或更高
否
12°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$5,853 交易量
$5,853 交易量
2026-09-08
8°C或以下
$574 交易量
否
9°C
$370 交易量
否
10°C
$190 交易量
否
11°C
$393 交易量
否
12°C
$905 交易量
是
13°C
$413 交易量
否
14°C
$535 交易量
否
15°C
$449 交易量
否
16°C
$69 交易量
否
17°C
$1,256 交易量
否
18°C或更高
$698 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show a strong consensus for a minimum air temperature of 12°C in Warsaw overnight on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly winds associated with a stable high-pressure system. Daytime highs reached 27–29°C with minimal cloud cover, allowing efficient radiational cooling after sunset as dew points remain in the mid-teens Celsius. This aligns with climatological expectations for early September in central Poland, where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C absent frontal systems. Market-implied odds near 99.5% for exactly 12°C reflect trader confidence in these stable conditions, though a modest increase in low-level moisture or unexpected wind shift could nudge the official station reading one degree either way before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$5,853结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show a strong consensus for a minimum air temperature of 12°C in Warsaw overnight on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly winds associated with a stable high-pressure system. Daytime highs reached 27–29°C with minimal cloud cover, allowing efficient radiational cooling after sunset as dew points remain in the mid-teens Celsius. This aligns with climatological expectations for early September in central Poland, where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C absent frontal systems. Market-implied odds near 99.5% for exactly 12°C reflect trader confidence in these stable conditions, though a modest increase in low-level moisture or unexpected wind shift could nudge the official station reading one degree either way before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,853结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show a strong consensus for a minimum air temperature of 12°C in Warsaw overnight on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly winds associated with a stable high-pressure system. Daytime highs reached 27–29°C with minimal cloud cover, allowing efficient radiational cooling after sunset as dew points remain in the mid-teens Celsius. This aligns with climatological expectations for early September in central Poland, where overnight lows typically range 10–14°C absent frontal systems. Market-implied odds near 99.5% for exactly 12°C reflect trader confidence in these stable conditions, though a modest increase in low-level moisture or unexpected wind shift could nudge the official station reading one degree either way before midnight local time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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