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特朗普会在2027年之前结束教育部吗?

Market icon

特朗普会在2027年之前结束教育部吗?

12月 31

12月 31

6% 概率
Polymarket
最新

6% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump administration efforts to dismantle the Department of Education through executive actions—including a March 2025 order directing program transfers to agencies like Labor and Health and Human Services, staff reductions exceeding 50%, and March 2026 headquarters relocation—have significantly shrunk its operations, yet the cabinet-level agency persists with ongoing functions like fraud oversight as of April 2026. Full termination requires congressional legislation, such as stalled H.R.899 introduced in January 2025 and stuck in House committee with no Senate action. Traders' 95% consensus on "No" reflects this legislative impasse and tight timeline before 2027, despite transfers of K-12 oversight and school safety grants earlier this year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.

If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$9,423
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump administration efforts to dismantle the Department of Education through executive actions—including a March 2025 order directing program transfers to agencies like Labor and Health and Human Services, staff reductions exceeding 50%, and March 2026 headquarters relocation—have significantly shrunk its operations, yet the cabinet-level agency persists with ongoing functions like fraud oversight as of April 2026. Full termination requires congressional legislation, such as stalled H.R.899 introduced in January 2025 and stuck in House committee with no Senate action. Traders' 95% consensus on "No" reflects this legislative impasse and tight timeline before 2027, despite transfers of K-12 oversight and school safety grants earlier this year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.

If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$9,423
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普会在2027年之前结束教育部吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"特朗普会在2027年前结束教育部吗?",概率为 6%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 6¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 6%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"特朗普会在2027年之前结束教育部吗?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Nov 19, 2025上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"特朗普会在2027年之前结束教育部吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"特朗普会在2027年之前结束教育部吗?"的当前领先者是"特朗普会在2027年前结束教育部吗?",仅有 6%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"特朗普会在2027年之前结束教育部吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。