Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 10°C (40%) and 9°C (34.5%) for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport today, reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from models like ECMWF and GFS amid a multi-day cold anomaly. Persistent northerly airflow has advected cool continental air masses over central Turkey, with yesterday's maximum at 8°C under sleet showers and overcast skies, well below the April climatological average of 17°C. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover variability—prolonged stratus decks suppress peaks to 9°C via reduced solar insolation, while partial breaks could yield 10-11°C through enhanced surface heating; light winds limit turbulent mixing. Official MGM hourly observations and airport data releases will sharpen resolution by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Ankara on April 12?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 12?
10°C 41%
9°C 35%
8°C 12%
11°C 12%
$28,252 Vol.
$28,252 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
12%
9°C
35%
10°C
41%
11°C
12%
12°C
2%
13°C
1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 41%
9°C 35%
8°C 12%
11°C 12%
$28,252 Vol.
$28,252 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
12%
9°C
35%
10°C
41%
11°C
12%
12°C
2%
13°C
1%
14°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 10°C (40%) and 9°C (34.5%) for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport today, reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from models like ECMWF and GFS amid a multi-day cold anomaly. Persistent northerly airflow has advected cool continental air masses over central Turkey, with yesterday's maximum at 8°C under sleet showers and overcast skies, well below the April climatological average of 17°C. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover variability—prolonged stratus decks suppress peaks to 9°C via reduced solar insolation, while partial breaks could yield 10-11°C through enhanced surface heating; light winds limit turbulent mixing. Official MGM hourly observations and airport data releases will sharpen resolution by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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