Trader consensus on Polymarket prices mid-70s highs at LaGuardia Airport Station—74-75°F leading at 25%—driven by National Weather Service models showing a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Northeast, ushering southerly flow and subsidence for above-normal spring warmth following early April's eastward heat dome shift. Closely matched odds for 72-73°F (19%) and 76-77°F (20%) reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance, where GFS and ECMWF ensembles diverge by 2-3°F on peak afternoon heating, influenced by potential timing of high clouds, light sea breezes, and urban effects boosting airport readings over Central Park norms. New 12Z model runs and NWS updates today could sharpen differentiation ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 13. April?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 13. April?
74-75°F 25%
76-77°F 21.0%
72-73°F 18.9%
78-79°F 13.7%
$22,669 Vol.
$22,669 Vol.
61°F oder niedriger
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
20-21°C
4%
70–71°F
9%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
14%
80°F oder höher
14%
74-75°F 25%
76-77°F 21.0%
72-73°F 18.9%
78-79°F 13.7%
$22,669 Vol.
$22,669 Vol.
61°F oder niedriger
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
20-21°C
4%
70–71°F
9%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
14%
80°F oder höher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices mid-70s highs at LaGuardia Airport Station—74-75°F leading at 25%—driven by National Weather Service models showing a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Northeast, ushering southerly flow and subsidence for above-normal spring warmth following early April's eastward heat dome shift. Closely matched odds for 72-73°F (19%) and 76-77°F (20%) reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance, where GFS and ECMWF ensembles diverge by 2-3°F on peak afternoon heating, influenced by potential timing of high clouds, light sea breezes, and urban effects boosting airport readings over Central Park norms. New 12Z model runs and NWS updates today could sharpen differentiation ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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