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Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 13?

Market icon

Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 13?

Apr. 11

Apr. 12

Apr. 13

Apr. 11

Apr. 12

Apr. 13

60-61°F 29%

62-63°F 26%

64-65°F 19%

58-59°F 17%

Polymarket
NEU

60-61°F 29%

62-63°F 26%

64-65°F 19%

58-59°F 17%

Polymarket
NEU

47°F or below

$562 Vol.

<1%

48-49°F

$1,438 Vol.

<1%

50-51°F

$1,027 Vol.

<1%

52-53°F

$834 Vol.

1%

54-55°F

$672 Vol.

2%

56-57°F

$426 Vol.

4%

58-59°F

$878 Vol.

17%

60-61°F

$443 Vol.

29%

62-63°F

$383 Vol.

26%

64-65°F

$431 Vol.

19%

66°F or higher

$630 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 60-63°F outcomes (combined ~56.5% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area guidance projecting coastal highs in the low-to-mid 60s amid persistent marine layer stratus and moderate onshore flow. Recent Area Forecast Discussions note a cooling pattern following early April warmth, with April 10 highs near 61°F at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) under cloudy skies, and weekend rain chances capping solar heating. Differentiating factors include stratus burn-off timing—stubborn low clouds favor 60-61°F (27.5%), partial afternoon clearing supports 62-63°F (29.0%) or 64-65°F (20.0%)—while historical April averages (~63°F) and model ensemble spreads underscore uncertainty. Watch 00Z GFS/ECMWF runs and NWS updates for shifts before Sunday's resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,725
Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 60-63°F outcomes (combined ~56.5% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area guidance projecting coastal highs in the low-to-mid 60s amid persistent marine layer stratus and moderate onshore flow. Recent Area Forecast Discussions note a cooling pattern following early April warmth, with April 10 highs near 61°F at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) under cloudy skies, and weekend rain chances capping solar heating. Differentiating factors include stratus burn-off timing—stubborn low clouds favor 60-61°F (27.5%), partial afternoon clearing supports 62-63°F (29.0%) or 64-65°F (20.0%)—while historical April averages (~63°F) and model ensemble spreads underscore uncertainty. Watch 00Z GFS/ECMWF runs and NWS updates for shifts before Sunday's resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,725
Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 13?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „60-61°F" mit 29%, gefolgt von „62-63°F" mit 26%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 29¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 29% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 13?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 9, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 13?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 13?" ist „60-61°F" mit 29%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 29% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „62-63°F" mit 26%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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