Latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance and global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS converge on a daytime high near 22°C for Tel Aviv on April 12, anchoring trader sentiment with 46.5% implied probability on that outcome and 32% on 21°C amid close clustering. This positioning reflects a persistent below-seasonal pattern this April, with monthly maximums averaging 3.4°C cooler than the typical 23°C due to inflows of cooler Mediterranean air under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds limiting solar insolation and convective heating. Short-range forecast uncertainty persists from potential variations in sea breeze intensity or afternoon cloud development, which could shift the peak by 1-2°C; traders await overnight model refreshes and final IMS bulletins ahead of resolution via official station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 12?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 12?
22°C 47%
21°C 32%
23°C or higher 11%
20°C 10.3%
$18,042 Vol.
$18,042 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
10%
21°C
32%
22°C
47%
23°C or higher
11%
22°C 47%
21°C 32%
23°C or higher 11%
20°C 10.3%
$18,042 Vol.
$18,042 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
10%
21°C
32%
22°C
47%
23°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance and global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS converge on a daytime high near 22°C for Tel Aviv on April 12, anchoring trader sentiment with 46.5% implied probability on that outcome and 32% on 21°C amid close clustering. This positioning reflects a persistent below-seasonal pattern this April, with monthly maximums averaging 3.4°C cooler than the typical 23°C due to inflows of cooler Mediterranean air under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds limiting solar insolation and convective heating. Short-range forecast uncertainty persists from potential variations in sea breeze intensity or afternoon cloud development, which could shift the peak by 1-2°C; traders await overnight model refreshes and final IMS bulletins ahead of resolution via official station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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