Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Dallas high temperature of 78-79°F at 37% implied probability, closely trailed by 76-77°F (28%) and 80-81°F (21%), reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting a peak near 79°F under mostly cloudy skies with south winds around 15 mph gusting higher. This positioning stems from the latest Area Forecast Discussion, which highlights increased mid-level clouds and isolated severe thunderstorms along the dryline—per Storm Prediction Center outlooks—capping daytime heating despite warm southerly flow and above-normal spring patterns. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show spread due to uncertain cloud cover and afternoon precip timing, with climatological mid-April highs averaging 78°F providing baseline context; watch hourly updates and radar for shifts as peak heating approaches this afternoon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on April 15?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 15?
78-79°F 39%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 23%
82°F or higher 10.5%
$36,034 Vol.
$36,034 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
23%
82°F or higher
11%
78-79°F 39%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 23%
82°F or higher 10.5%
$36,034 Vol.
$36,034 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
23%
82°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Dallas high temperature of 78-79°F at 37% implied probability, closely trailed by 76-77°F (28%) and 80-81°F (21%), reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting a peak near 79°F under mostly cloudy skies with south winds around 15 mph gusting higher. This positioning stems from the latest Area Forecast Discussion, which highlights increased mid-level clouds and isolated severe thunderstorms along the dryline—per Storm Prediction Center outlooks—capping daytime heating despite warm southerly flow and above-normal spring patterns. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show spread due to uncertain cloud cover and afternoon precip timing, with climatological mid-April highs averaging 78°F providing baseline context; watch hourly updates and radar for shifts as peak heating approaches this afternoon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes