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¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 29 de marzo?

Market icon

¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 29 de marzo?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

82-83°F 30%

80-81°F 23%

84-85°F 22%

78-79°F 12%

Polymarket

$14,338 Vol.

82-83°F 30%

80-81°F 23%

84-85°F 22%

78-79°F 12%

Polymarket

$14,338 Vol.

73°F o menos

$1,137 Vol.

<1%

74-75°F

$778 Vol.

1%

76-77°F

$1,021 Vol.

5%

78-79°F

$1,312 Vol.

12%

80-81°F

$1,238 Vol.

23%

82-83°F

$935 Vol.

30%

84-85°F

$1,001 Vol.

22%

86-87°F

$1,079 Vol.

2%

88-89°F

$1,613 Vol.

1%

90-91°F

$3,019 Vol.

<1%

92°F o más

$1,215 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Dallas's highest temperature on March 29, with NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering outcomes in the 82-85°F range amid a strong upper-level ridge over the southern Plains promoting subsidence, clear skies, and southerly winds. Yesterday's 00z model runs showed minor divergence—the GFS slightly warmer at 84-85°F peaks due to enhanced downslope flow, while the ECMWF favors 82-83°F with potential afternoon cloudiness—driving the near-even split between these bins at 28.5% and 26.0%. Above-normal warmth stems from persistent ridging, 10-15°F above the March climatological average of 72°F, though slight timing shifts in the jet stream could differentiate outcomes; watch National Weather Service updates from today's 12z runs for refinements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$14,338
Fecha de finalización
Mar 29, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Dallas's highest temperature on March 29, with NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering outcomes in the 82-85°F range amid a strong upper-level ridge over the southern Plains promoting subsidence, clear skies, and southerly winds. Yesterday's 00z model runs showed minor divergence—the GFS slightly warmer at 84-85°F peaks due to enhanced downslope flow, while the ECMWF favors 82-83°F with potential afternoon cloudiness—driving the near-even split between these bins at 28.5% and 26.0%. Above-normal warmth stems from persistent ridging, 10-15°F above the March climatological average of 72°F, though slight timing shifts in the jet stream could differentiate outcomes; watch National Weather Service updates from today's 12z runs for refinements.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Dallas's highest temperature on March 29, with NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering outcomes in the 82-85°F range amid a strong upper-level ridge over the southern Plains promoting subsidence, clear skies, and southerly winds. Yesterday's 00z model runs showed minor divergence—the GFS slightly warmer at 84-85°F peaks due to enhanced downslope flow, while the ECMWF favors 82-83°F with potential afternoon cloudiness—driving the near-even split between these bins at 28.5% and 26.0%. Above-normal warmth stems from persistent ridging, 10-15°F above the March climatological average of 72°F, though slight timing shifts in the jet stream could differentiate outcomes; watch National Weather Service updates from today's 12z runs for refinements.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 29 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "82-83°F" con 30%, seguido de "80-81°F" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 30¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 30% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 29 de marzo?" ha generado $14.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 29 de marzo?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 29 de marzo?" es "82-83°F" con 30%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 30% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "80-81°F" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 29 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.