Met Office's latest forecast models project London's highest temperature on April 16 at around 17°C, aligning closely with trader consensus where 17°C holds a 40.5% implied probability, followed by 16°C (26%) and 18°C (22.5%). This positioning reflects observational data from the past week: a record early-April heatwave peaked at 26.5°C in Kew Gardens on April 8—one of the UK's hottest such days in 80 years—before cooler, rainy conditions dropped the April 13 high to 13°C at Heathrow. Current high-pressure ridging and southerly airflow favor above-average mildness (climatological April 16 norm ~14°C), though model ensembles show minor spread due to potential cloud cover or Atlantic fronts. Updated guidance expected tonight; official observations resolve via Met Office stations like Heathrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on April 16?
Highest temperature in London on April 16?
17°C 39%
16°C 25%
18°C 23%
15°C 9.0%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
9%
16°C
25%
17°C
39%
18°C
23%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 39%
16°C 25%
18°C 23%
15°C 9.0%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
9%
16°C
25%
17°C
39%
18°C
23%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office's latest forecast models project London's highest temperature on April 16 at around 17°C, aligning closely with trader consensus where 17°C holds a 40.5% implied probability, followed by 16°C (26%) and 18°C (22.5%). This positioning reflects observational data from the past week: a record early-April heatwave peaked at 26.5°C in Kew Gardens on April 8—one of the UK's hottest such days in 80 years—before cooler, rainy conditions dropped the April 13 high to 13°C at Heathrow. Current high-pressure ridging and southerly airflow favor above-average mildness (climatological April 16 norm ~14°C), though model ensembles show minor spread due to potential cloud cover or Atlantic fronts. Updated guidance expected tonight; official observations resolve via Met Office stations like Heathrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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