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Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?

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Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

21°C or below 84%

22°C 8%

23°C 2.3%

24°C 1.5%

Polymarket

$19,890 Vol.

21°C or below 84%

22°C 8%

23°C 2.3%

24°C 1.5%

Polymarket

$19,890 Vol.

21°C or below

$2,425 Vol.

84%

22°C

$1,802 Vol.

8%

23°C

$1,563 Vol.

2%

24°C

$1,626 Vol.

2%

25°C

$1,646 Vol.

1%

26°C

$1,788 Vol.

1%

27°C

$2,524 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$1,485 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$1,700 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$1,723 Vol.

1%

31°C or higher

$1,608 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global models like GFS and ECMWF positions Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 29 at 19-20°C, driving the 84.5% market-implied probability for 21°C or below, as showers with 70-80% precipitation odds and partly cloudy to overcast skies suppress daytime heating. This aligns with late-March climatological highs of 21-22°C but reflects current atmospheric patterns featuring a passing low-pressure system, WSW winds at 15-25 mph enhancing sea-breeze cooling, and recent observations—including 19°C maxima on March 25 and 27 amid similar conditions. Model spread remains low, with minor uncertainties in shower timing or boundary-layer mixing offering slim chances for 22°C; IMS updates and Ben Gurion Airport readings will provide final clarity as observations commence.

Consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global models like GFS and ECMWF positions Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 29 at 19-20°C, driving the 84.5% market-implied probability for 21°C or below, as showers with 70-80% precipitation odds and partly cloudy to overcast skies suppress daytime heating. This aligns with late-March climatological highs of 21-22°C but reflects current atmospheric patterns featuring a passing low-pressure system, WSW winds at 15-25 mph enhancing sea-breeze cooling, and recent observations—including 19°C maxima on March 25 and 27 amid similar conditions. Model spread remains low, with minor uncertainties in shower timing or boundary-layer mixing offering slim chances for 22°C; IMS updates and Ben Gurion Airport readings will provide final clarity as observations commence.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global models like GFS and ECMWF positions Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 29 at 19-20°C, driving the 84.5% market-implied probability for 21°C or below, as showers with 70-80% precipitation odds and partly cloudy to overcast skies suppress daytime heating. This aligns with late-March climatological highs of 21-22°C but reflects current atmospheric patterns featuring a passing low-pressure system, WSW winds at 15-25 mph enhancing sea-breeze cooling, and recent observations—including 19°C maxima on March 25 and 27 amid similar conditions. Model spread remains low, with minor uncertainties in shower timing or boundary-layer mixing offering slim chances for 22°C; IMS updates and Ben Gurion Airport readings will provide final clarity as observations commence.

Consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global models like GFS and ECMWF positions Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 29 at 19-20°C, driving the 84.5% market-implied probability for 21°C or below, as showers with 70-80% precipitation odds and partly cloudy to overcast skies suppress daytime heating. This aligns with late-March climatological highs of 21-22°C but reflects current atmospheric patterns featuring a passing low-pressure system, WSW winds at 15-25 mph enhancing sea-breeze cooling, and recent observations—including 19°C maxima on March 25 and 27 amid similar conditions. Model spread remains low, with minor uncertainties in shower timing or boundary-layer mixing offering slim chances for 22°C; IMS updates and Ben Gurion Airport readings will provide final clarity as observations commence.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "21°C or below" con 84%, seguido de "22°C" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 84¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?" ha generado $19.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?" es "21°C or below" con 84%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "22°C" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.