Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark Takano holds a commanding position in California's 39th congressional district, a seat with a Democratic partisan lean that forecasters rate as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Takano advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Republican Steve Manos, building on his long tenure since 2013 and prior election margins in the mid-50s percent range. This setup, combined with the district's voting history and limited competitive polling, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93 percent. A major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or significant national political shift could still alter the race in the remaining months before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$39,304 交易量
$39,304 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$39,304 交易量
$39,304 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$26,643 交易量
93%
共和党
$12,660 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark Takano holds a commanding position in California's 39th congressional district, a seat with a Democratic partisan lean that forecasters rate as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Takano advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Republican Steve Manos, building on his long tenure since 2013 and prior election margins in the mid-50s percent range. This setup, combined with the district's voting history and limited competitive polling, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93 percent. A major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or significant national political shift could still alter the race in the remaining months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$39,304结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark Takano holds a commanding position in California's 39th congressional district, a seat with a Democratic partisan lean that forecasters rate as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Takano advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Republican Steve Manos, building on his long tenure since 2013 and prior election margins in the mid-50s percent range. This setup, combined with the district's voting history and limited competitive polling, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93 percent. A major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or significant national political shift could still alter the race in the remaining months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$39,304结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark Takano holds a commanding position in California's 39th congressional district, a seat with a Democratic partisan lean that forecasters rate as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Takano advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Republican Steve Manos, building on his long tenure since 2013 and prior election margins in the mid-50s percent range. This setup, combined with the district's voting history and limited competitive polling, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93 percent. A major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or significant national political shift could still alter the race in the remaining months before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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