Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 8°C or higher (100%) for Ankara's highest temperature on April 11, backed by the latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting daytime highs of 10–11°C under partly sunny skies with mild southerly winds. Current observations at Esenboğa Airport show morning temperatures around 5°C already climbing steadily, consistent with typical spring synoptic patterns featuring weak high-pressure influence over central Anatolia. April climatology supports this, with average highs near 16°C and rare dips below 8°C absent cold frontal passages. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent cloud cover or a late Arctic air intrusion suppressing peaks, though ensemble model agreement indicates under 1% risk; hourly station data will finalize resolution by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on April 11?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 11?
8°C or higher 100.0%
-2°C or below <1%
-1°C <1%
0°C <1%
$48,267 Vol.
$48,267 Vol.
-2°C or below
No
-1°C
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C or higher
Yes
8°C or higher 100.0%
-2°C or below <1%
-1°C <1%
0°C <1%
$48,267 Vol.
$48,267 Vol.
-2°C or below
No
-1°C
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 8°C or higher (100%) for Ankara's highest temperature on April 11, backed by the latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting daytime highs of 10–11°C under partly sunny skies with mild southerly winds. Current observations at Esenboğa Airport show morning temperatures around 5°C already climbing steadily, consistent with typical spring synoptic patterns featuring weak high-pressure influence over central Anatolia. April climatology supports this, with average highs near 16°C and rare dips below 8°C absent cold frontal passages. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent cloud cover or a late Arctic air intrusion suppressing peaks, though ensemble model agreement indicates under 1% risk; hourly station data will finalize resolution by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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