Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C (28.5%) and 23°C (26.5%) for Beijing's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting the tight spread in latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which project peaks of 22-25°C amid sunny conditions and light southerly winds. Today's cooler 17°C high—down from yesterday's 23°C due to persistent rain and cloud cover suppressing daytime boundary layer heating—has traders weighing rapid recovery potential from urban heat island effects and clear skies, though minor uncertainties in peak afternoon insolation and low-level mixing differentiate outcomes. Official observations at Beijing Capital International Airport will resolve the market; watch evening updates from CMA for shifts ahead of tomorrow's midday maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
22°C 32%
23°C 27%
24°C 15%
25°C 12%
$34,495 Vol.
$34,495 Vol.
21°C or below
12%
22°C
32%
23°C
27%
24°C
15%
25°C
12%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 32%
23°C 27%
24°C 15%
25°C 12%
$34,495 Vol.
$34,495 Vol.
21°C or below
12%
22°C
32%
23°C
27%
24°C
15%
25°C
12%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 22°C (28.5%) and 23°C (26.5%) for Beijing's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting the tight spread in latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which project peaks of 22-25°C amid sunny conditions and light southerly winds. Today's cooler 17°C high—down from yesterday's 23°C due to persistent rain and cloud cover suppressing daytime boundary layer heating—has traders weighing rapid recovery potential from urban heat island effects and clear skies, though minor uncertainties in peak afternoon insolation and low-level mixing differentiate outcomes. Official observations at Beijing Capital International Airport will resolve the market; watch evening updates from CMA for shifts ahead of tomorrow's midday maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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