Recent short-range forecast guidance from regional and global models indicates a highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25 most likely near 15°C, with 14–16°C as the core range supported by current atmospheric conditions over the Río de la Plata region. Late-August climatology shows average daily maxima around 15–16°C, and preliminary model consensus places tomorrow’s peak within this band amid typical wintertime variability from passing frontal systems. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 15°C (45.5%) and 14°C (35.5%) reflects trader assessment of minimal deviation risk before official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations finalize the daily maximum, while lower-probability tails for 13°C or 17°C+ capture residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or warming. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term driver.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25?
15°C 46%
14°C 36%
16°C 14%
13°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
9°C or below
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
6%
14°C
36%
15°C
46%
16°C
14%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
15°C 46%
14°C 36%
16°C 14%
13°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
10°C
$5 Vol.
2%
11°C
$5 Vol.
2%
12°C
$94 Vol.
3%
13°C
$166 Vol.
6%
14°C
$549 Vol.
36%
15°C
$135 Vol.
46%
16°C
$105 Vol.
14%
17°C
$74 Vol.
2%
18°C
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from regional and global models indicates a highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25 most likely near 15°C, with 14–16°C as the core range supported by current atmospheric conditions over the Río de la Plata region. Late-August climatology shows average daily maxima around 15–16°C, and preliminary model consensus places tomorrow’s peak within this band amid typical wintertime variability from passing frontal systems. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 15°C (45.5%) and 14°C (35.5%) reflects trader assessment of minimal deviation risk before official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations finalize the daily maximum, while lower-probability tails for 13°C or 17°C+ capture residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or warming. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$1,148End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from regional and global models indicates a highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25 most likely near 15°C, with 14–16°C as the core range supported by current atmospheric conditions over the Río de la Plata region. Late-August climatology shows average daily maxima around 15–16°C, and preliminary model consensus places tomorrow’s peak within this band amid typical wintertime variability from passing frontal systems. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 15°C (45.5%) and 14°C (35.5%) reflects trader assessment of minimal deviation risk before official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations finalize the daily maximum, while lower-probability tails for 13°C or 17°C+ capture residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or warming. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,148End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast guidance from regional and global models indicates a highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25 most likely near 15°C, with 14–16°C as the core range supported by current atmospheric conditions over the Río de la Plata region. Late-August climatology shows average daily maxima around 15–16°C, and preliminary model consensus places tomorrow’s peak within this band amid typical wintertime variability from passing frontal systems. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 15°C (45.5%) and 14°C (35.5%) reflects trader assessment of minimal deviation risk before official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations finalize the daily maximum, while lower-probability tails for 13°C or 17°C+ capture residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or warming. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term driver.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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