**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Saturday high near 89–91°F in Dallas, with a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms under partly sunny skies.** This follows widespread rain and thunderstorms on June 19 that capped highs around 87–90°F amid a moisture surge and lingering cloud cover. Post-frontal southeasterly flow and moderate humidity are expected to limit full solar heating while scattered convection could further suppress afternoon peaks depending on timing and coverage. Ensemble and deterministic runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and convective timing, which readily shifts the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on the 86–91°F bins, reflecting both the central forecast tendency and the narrow but real uncertainty around how much any afternoon storms or lingering cloud decks will blunt insolation. Updated model runs and short-term guidance issued on June 19–20 will be the key near-term catalysts for further market movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on June 20?
Highest temperature in Dallas on June 20?
92-93°F 100%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$66,467 Vol.
$66,467 Vol.
Jun 20, 2026
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$66,467 Vol.
$66,467 Vol.
Jun 20, 2026
79°F or below
$3,857 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$4,736 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$3,309 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$8,444 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$5,668 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$7,212 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$10,460 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$11,162 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$5,977 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$4,702 Vol.
No
98°F or higher
$940 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Saturday high near 89–91°F in Dallas, with a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms under partly sunny skies.** This follows widespread rain and thunderstorms on June 19 that capped highs around 87–90°F amid a moisture surge and lingering cloud cover.
Post-frontal southeasterly flow and moderate humidity are expected to limit full solar heating while scattered convection could further suppress afternoon peaks depending on timing and coverage. Ensemble and deterministic runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and convective timing, which readily shifts the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on the 86–91°F bins, reflecting both the central forecast tendency and the narrow but real uncertainty around how much any afternoon storms or lingering cloud decks will blunt insolation. Updated model runs and short-term guidance issued on June 19–20 will be the key near-term catalysts for further market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$66,467End Date
Jun 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Saturday high near 89–91°F in Dallas, with a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms under partly sunny skies.** This follows widespread rain and thunderstorms on June 19 that capped highs around 87–90°F amid a moisture surge and lingering cloud cover.
Post-frontal southeasterly flow and moderate humidity are expected to limit full solar heating while scattered convection could further suppress afternoon peaks depending on timing and coverage. Ensemble and deterministic runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and convective timing, which readily shifts the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on the 86–91°F bins, reflecting both the central forecast tendency and the narrow but real uncertainty around how much any afternoon storms or lingering cloud decks will blunt insolation. Updated model runs and short-term guidance issued on June 19–20 will be the key near-term catalysts for further market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$66,467End Date
Jun 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Saturday high near 89–91°F in Dallas, with a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms under partly sunny skies.** This follows widespread rain and thunderstorms on June 19 that capped highs around 87–90°F amid a moisture surge and lingering cloud cover. Post-frontal southeasterly flow and moderate humidity are expected to limit full solar heating while scattered convection could further suppress afternoon peaks depending on timing and coverage. Ensemble and deterministic runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and convective timing, which readily shifts the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on the 86–91°F bins, reflecting both the central forecast tendency and the narrow but real uncertainty around how much any afternoon storms or lingering cloud decks will blunt insolation. Updated model runs and short-term guidance issued on June 19–20 will be the key near-term catalysts for further market movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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