Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate high uncertainty for Busan’s July 18 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads clustering around 29–31°C amid typical mid-July East Asian monsoon conditions. Elevated atmospheric moisture and potential cloud cover or thundershowers can suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation, while coastal sea breezes may moderate peaks near the historical July average of 29–30°C. Recent short-range guidance highlights variability in humidity and localized precipitation timing as key differentiators among adjacent thresholds, keeping market-implied probabilities closely matched as traders weigh model consensus against coastal microclimate effects.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on July 18?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 18?
29°C 29%
30°C 29%
31°C 27%
28°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jul 18, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
29%
30°C
29%
31°C
27%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 29%
30°C 29%
31°C 27%
28°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jul 18, 2026
25°C or below
$87 Vol.
1%
26°C
$34 Vol.
1%
27°C
$43 Vol.
5%
28°C
$29 Vol.
14%
29°C
$41 Vol.
29%
30°C
$34 Vol.
29%
31°C
$100 Vol.
27%
32°C
$106 Vol.
3%
33°C
$46 Vol.
1%
34°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$141 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate high uncertainty for Busan’s July 18 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads clustering around 29–31°C amid typical mid-July East Asian monsoon conditions. Elevated atmospheric moisture and potential cloud cover or thundershowers can suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation, while coastal sea breezes may moderate peaks near the historical July average of 29–30°C. Recent short-range guidance highlights variability in humidity and localized precipitation timing as key differentiators among adjacent thresholds, keeping market-implied probabilities closely matched as traders weigh model consensus against coastal microclimate effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$704End Date
Jul 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate high uncertainty for Busan’s July 18 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads clustering around 29–31°C amid typical mid-July East Asian monsoon conditions. Elevated atmospheric moisture and potential cloud cover or thundershowers can suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation, while coastal sea breezes may moderate peaks near the historical July average of 29–30°C. Recent short-range guidance highlights variability in humidity and localized precipitation timing as key differentiators among adjacent thresholds, keeping market-implied probabilities closely matched as traders weigh model consensus against coastal microclimate effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$704End Date
Jul 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate high uncertainty for Busan’s July 18 maximum temperature, with ensemble spreads clustering around 29–31°C amid typical mid-July East Asian monsoon conditions. Elevated atmospheric moisture and potential cloud cover or thundershowers can suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation, while coastal sea breezes may moderate peaks near the historical July average of 29–30°C. Recent short-range guidance highlights variability in humidity and localized precipitation timing as key differentiators among adjacent thresholds, keeping market-implied probabilities closely matched as traders weigh model consensus against coastal microclimate effects.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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