Recent National Weather Service guidance indicates a cooler air mass arriving ahead of monsoon moisture, capping Denver's August 14 high near 83–84 °F with afternoon thunderstorms possible. This shift follows several warmer days and sits below the 88 °F climatological normal, producing the near-even market split between the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F bins. Model spread on storm timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps those two outcomes dominant while trimming odds for 86 °F or higher; traders appear to weigh the latest NWS and ensemble runs most heavily as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 14?
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 10%
78-79°F 8%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
6%
88°F or higher
3%
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 10%
78-79°F 8%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
6%
88°F or higher
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance indicates a cooler air mass arriving ahead of monsoon moisture, capping Denver's August 14 high near 83–84 °F with afternoon thunderstorms possible. This shift follows several warmer days and sits below the 88 °F climatological normal, producing the near-even market split between the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F bins. Model spread on storm timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps those two outcomes dominant while trimming odds for 86 °F or higher; traders appear to weigh the latest NWS and ensemble runs most heavily as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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