Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a maximum temperature in the low 90s°F for Denver on August 23, driving the near-even market-implied odds between the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins. Surface high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while light southwesterly winds and modest moisture advection create conditions for isolated afternoon thunderstorms that could reduce peak readings through cloud cover or evaporative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology near 90°F and follows the early-month heat wave, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any convection in updated model runs from NOAA.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 23?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 23?
92-93°F 38%
90-91°F 37%
88-89°F 12%
94-95°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
37%
92-93°F
38%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
4%
98°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 38%
90-91°F 37%
88-89°F 12%
94-95°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
$132 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$133 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$135 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$408 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$51 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$289 Vol.
12%
90-91°F
$144 Vol.
37%
92-93°F
$507 Vol.
38%
94-95°F
$281 Vol.
11%
96-97°F
$79 Vol.
4%
98°F or higher
$37 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a maximum temperature in the low 90s°F for Denver on August 23, driving the near-even market-implied odds between the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins. Surface high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while light southwesterly winds and modest moisture advection create conditions for isolated afternoon thunderstorms that could reduce peak readings through cloud cover or evaporative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology near 90°F and follows the early-month heat wave, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any convection in updated model runs from NOAA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Volume
$2,194End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a maximum temperature in the low 90s°F for Denver on August 23, driving the near-even market-implied odds between the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins. Surface high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while light southwesterly winds and modest moisture advection create conditions for isolated afternoon thunderstorms that could reduce peak readings through cloud cover or evaporative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology near 90°F and follows the early-month heat wave, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any convection in updated model runs from NOAA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,194End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a maximum temperature in the low 90s°F for Denver on August 23, driving the near-even market-implied odds between the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins. Surface high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while light southwesterly winds and modest moisture advection create conditions for isolated afternoon thunderstorms that could reduce peak readings through cloud cover or evaporative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology near 90°F and follows the early-month heat wave, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any convection in updated model runs from NOAA.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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