Latest forecasts from the Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory and Hong Kong Observatory project a daytime high near 27°C for April 17 amid persistent cloudy conditions transitioning to moderate rain, limiting solar insolation and tempering trader sentiment toward the upper 20s Celsius range. This drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities, with 29°C edging out at 29.5% on lingering optimism from earlier model runs showing partial clearing, while 28°C (23.5%) and 26°C or below (22.5%) gain from consensus on increased cloud cover and precipitation risks. Differentiating factors include the timing of rain onset—delayed showers could allow 29°C peaks, but morning overcast favors cooler outcomes—against April climatological averages of 26°C highs in the Pearl River Delta. Hourly Baiyun Airport observations will sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
29°C 28%
26°C or below 22%
28°C 22%
30°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Apr 17, 2026
26°C or below
22%
27°C
8%
28°C
22%
29°C
28%
30°C
10%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
1%
29°C 28%
26°C or below 22%
28°C 22%
30°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Apr 17, 2026
26°C or below
$426 Vol.
22%
27°C
$345 Vol.
8%
28°C
$274 Vol.
22%
29°C
$258 Vol.
28%
30°C
$463 Vol.
10%
31°C
$448 Vol.
6%
32°C
$1,017 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,112 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,917 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,690 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,350 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory and Hong Kong Observatory project a daytime high near 27°C for April 17 amid persistent cloudy conditions transitioning to moderate rain, limiting solar insolation and tempering trader sentiment toward the upper 20s Celsius range. This drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities, with 29°C edging out at 29.5% on lingering optimism from earlier model runs showing partial clearing, while 28°C (23.5%) and 26°C or below (22.5%) gain from consensus on increased cloud cover and precipitation risks. Differentiating factors include the timing of rain onset—delayed showers could allow 29°C peaks, but morning overcast favors cooler outcomes—against April climatological averages of 26°C highs in the Pearl River Delta. Hourly Baiyun Airport observations will sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$9,141End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory and Hong Kong Observatory project a daytime high near 27°C for April 17 amid persistent cloudy conditions transitioning to moderate rain, limiting solar insolation and tempering trader sentiment toward the upper 20s Celsius range. This drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities, with 29°C edging out at 29.5% on lingering optimism from earlier model runs showing partial clearing, while 28°C (23.5%) and 26°C or below (22.5%) gain from consensus on increased cloud cover and precipitation risks. Differentiating factors include the timing of rain onset—delayed showers could allow 29°C peaks, but morning overcast favors cooler outcomes—against April climatological averages of 26°C highs in the Pearl River Delta. Hourly Baiyun Airport observations will sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,141End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory and Hong Kong Observatory project a daytime high near 27°C for April 17 amid persistent cloudy conditions transitioning to moderate rain, limiting solar insolation and tempering trader sentiment toward the upper 20s Celsius range. This drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities, with 29°C edging out at 29.5% on lingering optimism from earlier model runs showing partial clearing, while 28°C (23.5%) and 26°C or below (22.5%) gain from consensus on increased cloud cover and precipitation risks. Differentiating factors include the timing of rain onset—delayed showers could allow 29°C peaks, but morning overcast favors cooler outcomes—against April climatological averages of 26°C highs in the Pearl River Delta. Hourly Baiyun Airport observations will sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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