India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Lucknow Airport confirm the maximum temperature reached 32.0–32.1°C on April 10, 2026, 5.1°C below seasonal norms, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Clear skies and strong daytime winds—speeds up to 25–40 km/h—suppressed daytime heating by enhancing surface mixing and evaporative cooling, limiting peaks despite ample solar insolation typical for early April. Evening readings around 25.8°C by 20:30 IST further signaled no late surge. While final IMD data compilation could theoretically revise upward via quality control adjustments, such changes are rare post-initial reporting, solidifying the market-implied certainty. Traders eye tomorrow's forecast for a gradual warmup toward 34°C amid ongoing dry conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 10?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 10?
32°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
$131,331 Vol.
$131,331 Vol.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
$131,331 Vol.
$131,331 Vol.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Lucknow Airport confirm the maximum temperature reached 32.0–32.1°C on April 10, 2026, 5.1°C below seasonal norms, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Clear skies and strong daytime winds—speeds up to 25–40 km/h—suppressed daytime heating by enhancing surface mixing and evaporative cooling, limiting peaks despite ample solar insolation typical for early April. Evening readings around 25.8°C by 20:30 IST further signaled no late surge. While final IMD data compilation could theoretically revise upward via quality control adjustments, such changes are rare post-initial reporting, solidifying the market-implied certainty. Traders eye tomorrow's forecast for a gradual warmup toward 34°C amid ongoing dry conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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