Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C or higher (82%) for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 13, driven by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which estimate maxima of 24-27°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies. The city's 2,240-meter elevation moderates extremes, but April's dry season climatology—averaging 26°C highs with low humidity and 8-9 hours of sunshine—supports this positioning, consistent with recent observations of 22-23°C earlier this week under sunny conditions. Model consensus shows minimal variability, though afternoon clouds or light winds could cap peaks at 24°C (20% implied odds). Official airport measurements will resolve tomorrow, with SMN updates potentially refining short-term guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 13?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 13?
25°C or higher 81%
24°C 13%
23°C 3.7%
21°C <1%
$22,878 Vol.
$22,878 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C or higher
81%
25°C or higher 81%
24°C 13%
23°C 3.7%
21°C <1%
$22,878 Vol.
$22,878 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C or higher
81%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C or higher (82%) for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 13, driven by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which estimate maxima of 24-27°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies. The city's 2,240-meter elevation moderates extremes, but April's dry season climatology—averaging 26°C highs with low humidity and 8-9 hours of sunshine—supports this positioning, consistent with recent observations of 22-23°C earlier this week under sunny conditions. Model consensus shows minimal variability, though afternoon clouds or light winds could cap peaks at 24°C (20% implied odds). Official airport measurements will resolve tomorrow, with SMN updates potentially refining short-term guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions