Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Milan on April 10, driven by official observations from the Milano Linate Airport weather station (LIML), which recorded a peak of 21°C per Wunderground data—the designated resolution source. Partly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds restricted solar heating, aligning with forecast model consensus from sources like ilMeteo.it predicting maxima around 21°C amid mild spring patterns. April climatology in Milan typically features highs of 17–19°C, making this outcome consistent with recent observational trends. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from the station or discrepancies with nearby Malpensa readings, though final meteorological reports solidify the positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on April 10?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 10?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$140,932 Vol.
$140,932 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$140,932 Vol.
$140,932 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Milan on April 10, driven by official observations from the Milano Linate Airport weather station (LIML), which recorded a peak of 21°C per Wunderground data—the designated resolution source. Partly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds restricted solar heating, aligning with forecast model consensus from sources like ilMeteo.it predicting maxima around 21°C amid mild spring patterns. April climatology in Milan typically features highs of 17–19°C, making this outcome consistent with recent observational trends. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from the station or discrepancies with nearby Malpensa readings, though final meteorological reports solidify the positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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