Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to a typical wet-season pattern over Panama City, with daytime heating tempered by scattered convection and variable cloud cover that could cap or allow peaks near 31–33°C on August 24. Historical August averages hover around 30°C, yet short-term runs show modest warming potential if morning sunshine persists longer before afternoon showers develop. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched 32°C and 33°C outcomes captures this narrow range of uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, steering flow, and timing of rainfall, all of which can shift maximum readings by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and official observations from the Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá will clarify whether stronger insolation or earlier storms prevail.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 24?
32°C 39%
33°C 32%
31°C 22%
30°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
9%
31°C
22%
32°C
39%
33°C
32%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 39%
33°C 32%
31°C 22%
30°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
9%
31°C
22%
32°C
39%
33°C
32%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to a typical wet-season pattern over Panama City, with daytime heating tempered by scattered convection and variable cloud cover that could cap or allow peaks near 31–33°C on August 24. Historical August averages hover around 30°C, yet short-term runs show modest warming potential if morning sunshine persists longer before afternoon showers develop. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched 32°C and 33°C outcomes captures this narrow range of uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, steering flow, and timing of rainfall, all of which can shift maximum readings by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and official observations from the Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá will clarify whether stronger insolation or earlier storms prevail.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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