Traders have converged on 20°C as the highest temperature in Qingdao on May 19, with market-implied odds at 100% reflecting confirmed observational data from regional meteorological stations. Spring atmospheric patterns over coastal Shandong featured light southerly flow and mostly clear skies, producing a daily maximum that aligned closely with the 18–22°C climatological average for mid-May. Official monitoring by the China Meteorological Administration established this value through standard thermometer readings at multiple sites, leaving little room for alternative outcomes. Only an unexpected revision in the final verified dataset or a narrow redefinition of the exact 24-hour observation window could realistically alter the result, though current station consensus leaves such adjustments highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 19?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 19?
20°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$1,976 Vol.
$1,976 Vol.
May 19, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$1,976 Vol.
$1,976 Vol.
May 19, 2026
11°C or below
$36 Vol.
No
12°C
$33 Vol.
No
13°C
$244 Vol.
No
14°C
$271 Vol.
No
15°C
$85 Vol.
No
16°C
$80 Vol.
No
17°C
$374 Vol.
No
18°C
$77 Vol.
No
19°C
$153 Vol.
No
20°C
$563 Vol.
Yes
21°C or higher
$60 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 20°C as the highest temperature in Qingdao on May 19, with market-implied odds at 100% reflecting confirmed observational data from regional meteorological stations. Spring atmospheric patterns over coastal Shandong featured light southerly flow and mostly clear skies, producing a daily maximum that aligned closely with the 18–22°C climatological average for mid-May. Official monitoring by the China Meteorological Administration established this value through standard thermometer readings at multiple sites, leaving little room for alternative outcomes. Only an unexpected revision in the final verified dataset or a narrow redefinition of the exact 24-hour observation window could realistically alter the result, though current station consensus leaves such adjustments highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volume
$1,976End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 20°C as the highest temperature in Qingdao on May 19, with market-implied odds at 100% reflecting confirmed observational data from regional meteorological stations. Spring atmospheric patterns over coastal Shandong featured light southerly flow and mostly clear skies, producing a daily maximum that aligned closely with the 18–22°C climatological average for mid-May. Official monitoring by the China Meteorological Administration established this value through standard thermometer readings at multiple sites, leaving little room for alternative outcomes. Only an unexpected revision in the final verified dataset or a narrow redefinition of the exact 24-hour observation window could realistically alter the result, though current station consensus leaves such adjustments highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,976End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have converged on 20°C as the highest temperature in Qingdao on May 19, with market-implied odds at 100% reflecting confirmed observational data from regional meteorological stations. Spring atmospheric patterns over coastal Shandong featured light southerly flow and mostly clear skies, producing a daily maximum that aligned closely with the 18–22°C climatological average for mid-May. Official monitoring by the China Meteorological Administration established this value through standard thermometer readings at multiple sites, leaving little room for alternative outcomes. Only an unexpected revision in the final verified dataset or a narrow redefinition of the exact 24-hour observation window could realistically alter the result, though current station consensus leaves such adjustments highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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