Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 5, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light westerly winds. These patterns, typical of early September in the eastern Mediterranean, support strong daytime solar heating while coastal sea breezes provide modest moderation. Current observational data and short-range model runs show no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that would alter peak values substantially. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 32°C outcome at 63.5% implied probability, aligns with this ensemble agreement, though minor variations in wind speed or humidity could shift the exact high by 1°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine resolution odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5?
32°C 64%
33°C 19%
34°C 16%
31°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
29°C or below
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
16%
32°C
64%
33°C
19%
34°C
16%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
32°C 64%
33°C 19%
34°C 16%
31°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
29°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
8%
31°C
$28 Vol.
16%
32°C
$122 Vol.
64%
33°C
$0 Vol.
19%
34°C
$0 Vol.
16%
35°C
$0 Vol.
2%
36°C
$5 Vol.
2%
37°C
$0 Vol.
1%
38°C
$0 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 5, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light westerly winds. These patterns, typical of early September in the eastern Mediterranean, support strong daytime solar heating while coastal sea breezes provide modest moderation. Current observational data and short-range model runs show no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that would alter peak values substantially. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 32°C outcome at 63.5% implied probability, aligns with this ensemble agreement, though minor variations in wind speed or humidity could shift the exact high by 1°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$154End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 5, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light westerly winds. These patterns, typical of early September in the eastern Mediterranean, support strong daytime solar heating while coastal sea breezes provide modest moderation. Current observational data and short-range model runs show no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that would alter peak values substantially. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 32°C outcome at 63.5% implied probability, aligns with this ensemble agreement, though minor variations in wind speed or humidity could shift the exact high by 1°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$154End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 5, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light westerly winds. These patterns, typical of early September in the eastern Mediterranean, support strong daytime solar heating while coastal sea breezes provide modest moderation. Current observational data and short-range model runs show no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that would alter peak values substantially. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 32°C outcome at 63.5% implied probability, aligns with this ensemble agreement, though minor variations in wind speed or humidity could shift the exact high by 1°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine resolution odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions