Current numerical weather models project a minimum temperature near 24°C in Tel Aviv on September 5, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that allow gradual overnight cooling over the coastal plain while the adjacent Mediterranean Sea moderates extremes. Hourly guidance from multiple sources shows early-morning readings stabilizing around 23–25°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region where sea breezes and humidity limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this forecast stability, with 24°C holding the highest implied probability, though model updates closer to the date could shift outcomes if steering patterns or cloud cover change.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5?
20°C or below 69%
30°C or higher 69%
25°C 50%
26°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
69%
21°C
19%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
48%
25°C
50%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
69%
20°C or below 69%
30°C or higher 69%
25°C 50%
26°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
48%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$0 Vol.
49%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models project a minimum temperature near 24°C in Tel Aviv on September 5, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that allow gradual overnight cooling over the coastal plain while the adjacent Mediterranean Sea moderates extremes. Hourly guidance from multiple sources shows early-morning readings stabilizing around 23–25°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region where sea breezes and humidity limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this forecast stability, with 24°C holding the highest implied probability, though model updates closer to the date could shift outcomes if steering patterns or cloud cover change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models project a minimum temperature near 24°C in Tel Aviv on September 5, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that allow gradual overnight cooling over the coastal plain while the adjacent Mediterranean Sea moderates extremes. Hourly guidance from multiple sources shows early-morning readings stabilizing around 23–25°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region where sea breezes and humidity limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this forecast stability, with 24°C holding the highest implied probability, though model updates closer to the date could shift outcomes if steering patterns or cloud cover change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models project a minimum temperature near 24°C in Tel Aviv on September 5, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds that allow gradual overnight cooling over the coastal plain while the adjacent Mediterranean Sea moderates extremes. Hourly guidance from multiple sources shows early-morning readings stabilizing around 23–25°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region where sea breezes and humidity limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this forecast stability, with 24°C holding the highest implied probability, though model updates closer to the date could shift outcomes if steering patterns or cloud cover change.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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